QUOTE(Dontreadonme @ Dec 21 2005, 01:40 PM)
What realistic efforts can ordinary citizens employ to end or mitigate warfare, and can such a movement ever really grow vast enough to make those voices effective?
As I've implied elsewhere, all conflict exists because of differing values derived from the self. Replicators are, by necessity, selfish. That means that competition for scarce resources will always exist with those that are not "self". The curious thing is that death due to war, in per capita terms, is at an all-time historic low. Even WW I and II were relatively benign compared to vicious tribal conflicts in which 30-50% of a male population could be eliminated. The fact that some Americans are in a furor over a death rate of less than 3000 soldiers out of a population almost 100,000 times that number is quite illustrative. Our country has lost less than 0.001% of its population due to the Iraq war. I believe statisticians would call that "statistically insignificant." Of course, that is not to belittle the sacrifice those brave men and women made for a country they believed in. It's merely pointing out that it's a far, far cry from the 60,000+ soldiers who died in Vietnam just three decades ago (not to mention the 1,000,000+ Vietnamese).
So why is war at such an historic low, given that we have the technology to obliterate all of mankind? Well, the primary reason is that technology has made it possible to increase the definition of "self" to such an extent that there are relatively few enemies left to fight. Even though there are millions of people starving in the world, that's not a technical problem so much as a socioeconomic one. The resources we are fighting over are not food, but rather energy. Ultimately, energy drives a post-industrial society, and there is enough of it available that most of it can be acquired more cheaply through economic means than military means. When someone like Saddam Hussein decides to threaten that ecological balance by doing something like threatening to redenominate Iraqi oil contracts in Euros instead of USD, one cannot expect any other result than military action from those protecting their own interests.
But what of the self-righteous pacifists that condemn war while at the same time reaping its benefits? Well, simply put, they are hypocrites. When they stop driving cars, riding buses, wearing nylon and polyester clothes, using plastic bags, computers, food packages, etc. they will have climbed the moral high ground from whence to justifiably launch their tirades. But whether they like it or not, 100% of the pacifists in industrialized nations benefit tremendously from cheap oil, whether ill-gotten or "legitimately" acquired. Almost none of them would be able to communicate their message of pacifism without the accoutrements of modern technology which accrue from petroleum products. Even "green" technologies like bicycles are largely manufactured by and from oil.
And when considering a situation like Iraq, one must admit that the Iraqis themselves benefit, even though they pay the price of "insurgency" (which would be called "terrorism" in any other context) and "collateral damage". As much as the media likes to portray the American presence as unwelcome, I'm sure the average Iraqi on the street would rather have a humvee with a roof-mounted .50 cal driving up and down their street than a Shiite death squad or Sunni insurgent or Syrian terrorist. But asking the average Iraqi that very question doesn't make for interesting news.
Still, war is hell. And for humans, it will continue to be, until the meta-beings whose bodies are composed of us as cells eventually duke it out to the death and there is a final victor, which will be the human Self, the Global 'I'. There are currently many such meta-beings, and they largely overlap. We call them "Islam" and "Hinduism" and "Christianity" and "Republicanism" and "Labor" and "Pacifism" and "Pakistan" and "Venezuela" and "Riyadh" and "Saxony" and "YMCA" and "MCI" and "IMF" etc. They live in us and they are us and we are them. These beings fight by subsuming us, controlling us, manipulating us, and even rewarding us. Of course, the reward is why we join them. A self-interested agent cannot do any less. We are cells within simultaneously overlapping social bodies that are in a struggle for life and death. These meta-physical amoebas are the next higher form of organism on this planet. War will end when we all belong to roughly the same meta-amoebas. Then the remaining conflict will be roughly analogous to cancer or auto-immune disorders, and dealt with appropriately.
So what can the average citizen do to hasten this social Grand Unification? Well, the unification is primarily driven by economics, which is primarily driven by technology. So if you want World Peace, you're gonna have to buy it. It happens to look just like an iPod. Seriously. It might seem crass to say that consumerism will save humanity, but free market forces are what drive innovation. And innovation is what advances the state of the art. The market creates what consumers demand. If we demand technologies that trickle down to the Third World, then we will have made progress. In practical terms, consumers should reward technological risk-takers. People who are willing to take bold steps in a new direction. If we only reward conservative innovators, we will set the pace of technology at a disheartening level. Buy radical products that might fail, but are headed in the right direction. Tell innovators and investors that you want new technology and you want it bad. Buy Playstations and PCs and plasma displays. Yes, you are giving your money to evil corporate conglomerates that operate sweat shops and bilk investors out of their money. Unfortunately those are some of the inevitable costs of operating a free market economy. But you are also funding a push for innovation that will result in more research grants, more funding for schools and universities, and ultimately more technology that will do things like reduce our dependence on fossil fuels.
Do high gas prices annoy you? Do you feel that the oil companies are ripping us off? Well, they are, and you should be glad. There are several reasons that high oil prices are good for our future. First, they make alternative fuels more competitive. The longer oil prices remain high, the more confident investors will be that alternative fuels will be imminently profitable. You want a green future? Pay twice as much at the pump for a black present and don't even blink. But still vote with your wallet. Buy those Priuses and Insights. Tell automakers that they must go green or die. It's no accident that the most successful automaker in the world is also the leading green manfacturer. Oil companies aren't stupid. They can see the writing on the wall. They are used to making 10 year investments in oil fields and drilling rigs. They know how to plan for the future. Yes, they are taking a windfall today, but they are setting up for a green tomorrow. They will always be energy companies, but they won't always be oil companies. Petroleum today, natural gas tomorrow, methanol, hydrogen, and uranium in the next decade and century. All powered by expensive oil. The high prices at the pump are paying for a cleaner future for our children, and that should be reason for satisfaction. We are paying a future tax, but one that is better paid sooner than later.
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Won't there always be some entity on the globe that will threaten peaceful existence?
Depends on the cost/benefit ratio of conflict. Neighbors in the same town typically don't wage war with one another, because there is so little to be gained and so much to be lost. Not so in hunter-gatherer groups where there may not be enough game in a given area to support two tribes/clans. When it comes to food, technology has bought us peace. The same is true for shelter and clothing. Now we don't fight for food but for energy (or rather, food for our machines, which are the more powerful extensions of our bodies). We spend money on the military because that is the cost of evolution...machine evolution. The military-industrial complexes of modern nations are like hulking robots of the future that are in a continual process of refit and upgrade. Game theory shows us that for this scenario, the best strategy is to upgrade at the highest sustainable rate until you dominate. Surprise! The "hunting grounds" of today are vast deserts of black gold and swamp gas. And they are hunted by metal beasts that spit fire and cloak themselves from far-seeing eyes. This era, too, shall pass.
What then? The superorganism that some call "Gaia" will then have matured to a harmonious whole, and at that point will seek to test its wings in the vast reaches of space. Already, we can see those wings starting to unfold in projects like Apollo, the ISS, numerous Mars missions, and even the recent successes of the Chinese space program. Gaia herself will become hungry and will seek food elsewhere. The hunting grounds will abstract to a higher plane, and the conflict will start all over again. But this time humans will be a single organism. Who will be our enemy? Only time will tell.
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Can committed pacifists find common ideological ground with hawks who believe that violence sometimes has to be employed to protect a democratic way of life?
The ideological distinction between hawks and doves is just as artificial and moot as the distinction between Republicrats and Democans. Such distinctions are engineered by various groups (not all of which are the government) to produce a certain desired end goal...namely power. Ghandi was not interested in pacifism for its own sake. He wanted a free India, plain and simple. I guarantee you if he felt that the only way to obtain a free India was through armed resistance, Ghandi would have picked up a gun and told his followers to do the same. Ghandi's brilliance was the observation that with the British, a non-violent coup would both succeed and benefit all sides through reduced casualties. Pacifism was a means to an end. If you don't agree, then try rewriting history by placing Ghandi as a Slav in Stalinist Russia circa 1940's. See how many hunger protests it would take to stop the butcher of Stalingrad.
Ghandi's strategy worked not only because the British had a "democratic conscience", but because there was a certain level of mutual respect between the British and the Indians. They had led a relatively peaceful colonial existence for many years, and the British made no attempt to demonize Indians as sub-human. That is to say, Indians were already halfway into the Briton's in-group by the time Ghandi came onto the scene, and it didn't take much effort to push them all the way in. On the other hand, Hitler's and Stalin's and Hirohito's genocides depended on explicitly pushing their victims into a sub-human out-group. This strategy should clearly indicate that no amount of pacifism would placate such bloodthirsty barbarians. Furthermore, pacifistically observing genocide while possessing the ability to prevent it would seem quite strongly to be an endorsement of the genocide itself. Witness the recent case of a West Virginia police chief charged with denying first aid to a gay man.
"Committed pacifism" is merely a theoretical ideology that has no bearing on real-world events. Pacifists will not be able to cancel a war in Rwanda by not showing up. That's because they can't prevent the Rwandans from showing up with AK-47's and machetes. But standing by and watching the genocide from afar, we in the North are nodding in implicit approval of the wanton killing. When white Europeans in Bosnia and Kosovo were allegedly genocided, we rushed to their aid with all the technology the West had at its disposal. When black Somalians dying of starvation in numbers ten and a hundred times higher than the Bosnians killed 19 of our bravest, we turned tail and ran. It took 60,000 body bags to get us out of Vietnam. Does that mean we regarded the South Vietnamese as 3,000 times more important than the Somalians? I can't help but draw that conclusion. The level of our committment is indicated by the level of our sacrifice.
On the other hand, "Responsible Hawk" means "I profit highly from the military-industrial complex and have no shame about it". Point to one hawk in the Beltway that does not profit highly from the defense sector and I will retract my accusation. Of course, a "citizen hawk" is a meaningless term, because the average citizen has no means by which to wage war on a significant scale. A citizen hawk is just a paper tiger, or, in more unfortunate circumstances, cannon fodder. That does not mean we should disrespect those who serve proudly in the military. In fact, they deserve the highest respect, because they are the ones putting their lives on the line for what they believe, which is, in fact, more than you can say for the pacifists. Consider that most of the casualties in Iraq do not get the opportunity to shoot at their enemy before they come home on a stretcher or in a body bag, and it suddenly becomes crass to caricature them as bloodthirsty, gun-toting hicks. Some of them are out of control. There is no doubt. Some are just immature, and do stupid things like shoot at camels. Others are more sinister, and do things like torture prisoners, but most certainly not only on their own accord. Nonetheless, it is the military that maintains the balance of power in favor of the US. Who controls the seas controls the world. In the time when the sun never set on the British empire, England owned the high seas. Now the US is the only power to field 15 supercarriers and countless nuclear submarines. The next time you're on your way to an anti-war rally and stop by Starbuck's to get a double latte cappucino, consider that your Starbuck's exists and is profitable largely because of the US hegemony enforced by military fiat.