QUOTE(Vermillion)
Firstly, a thing or two about atomic weapons programs.
Very soon the US and the west is going to have to realise that it cannot keep trying to stuff the atomic toothpaste back in the tube. The day is changing, and our perception is going to have to change with it.
How exactly does technological advances change our perception of nuclear weapons?
The ability to make these infernal devices does not, in any way, bear upon the motives of those making them. Simply being able to make a nuclear weapon does not give one the right or obligation to do so. Any one who makes such a weapon in this day and age must be regarded with suspicion, especially nations like Iran who are characterised by oppression, religious fundamentalism and hostility to other countries.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
However if you were to expand that list to include nations that could be nuclear in three months if the wanted to, suddenly there are dozens more: Canada, Japan, Italy, Spain, Germany, Greece, Norway, Sweden, Egypt, Ukraine, Brazil, Mexico, and the list continues.
These nations do NOT have nukes because they choose not to, a ‘choice’ that would very reasonably evaporate if they suddenly found themselves targeted by a stronger power like the United States.
Perhaps.
But so what? Iran is not being targetted without justification by the USA. Any and all attention focused by the USA
and the rest of the democratic west is only a
response to the aggression and hostile attitude that has characterised Iranian politics since the 1970's. Iran would be as safe as any other nation if it were not laying a deliberate course against the peace and stability of the middle east and thus, the rest of the world.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
Secondly, this might be one of those times when the ‘shining example’ set by the US comes back to haunt them. If Iran does pursue nuclear weapons, then they are in violation of the NPT, which they signed in good faith.
However the main plaintiff of this violation would be the United States, which has shown in the past 5 years that is no problem at all ignoring treaties which it signed in good faith as long as it is in the national interest. This ‘example’ has been noticed by the world, and severely lessens the moral authority for the US to complain when other nations act in exactly the same manner.
Just under Bush Jr., the US has violated the ABM treaty, the Comprehensive Test Ban Treaty, the NAFTA agreement just to name a few, as well as possibly violating the NPT itself in assisting Israel with its atomic program, though these allegations are unproven.
Again, so what?
The USA does not set a trend for the rest of the world. Using one nations violations of treaty's does not justify anything and from a European perspective it carries no weight at all.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
Iran’s current leader (as has been mentioned) was elected democratically by the people of Iran. He is no brutal dictator like Hussein, and the citizens of Iran, including the women, enjoy comparatively more freedom then citizens do in other nation to which the US is allied, such as Saudi Arabia.
Again and again, so what?
Two wrongs do not make a right. You can't just point to the discretions and crimes of others and say, well they are so bad so we can be too.
The bottom line is, every nation on Earth has the right to undertake measures to defend itself. Iran has made a choice which puts it indirect conflict with the USA, Europe and most of the Middle East. It doesn't matter what justifications they used to get to this point, the fact is, they went forward with open eyes, well aware of how their actions would be viewed.
Iran's actions can only be viewed as a challenge. A defiance to the rest of the world, to the democratic western nations in general and to Israel in particular. Given their leaders stance, given their recent elections and given the history of Iran, then it is utterly inconceivable that Iran does not pose a direct threat to the West.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
Iran is certainly not a free country, the religious powers hold sway there and have the capacity (and have done so) to VETO progressive legislation. However, the country’s population recently CHOSE to vote out of office a moderate reformer, and replace him with a hardliner. This is democracy in action, or at least a version of it.
Democracy by itself does not justify anything and if a population votes for a hard line course then that population must face the consequences of its decision.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
While Iran’s comments about Israel are shocking and dismaying, they are only unique in that they were publicised so much. Similar statements come out of many of the Arab Gulf States. Last month a Saudi Arabian court sentenced a teacher to 750 lashes (an effective death sentence) for teaching that the Jews were people and Israel had a right to exist in some form.
Saudi Arabia is not persuing nuclear 'resources'.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
Saudi is also the country in the middle east that supports terrorists more than EVERY OTHER middle eastern nation combined. Explain to me why they are such staunch US buddies again?
Well, obviously because the USA believes it can still influence Saudi Arabia by diplomatic and political means, something which Iran has consistently resisted.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
Lastly, two practical issues. In the end, though there was a lot of sabre rattling and anger, there was still a movement in the Middle East in support of the deposition of Saddam, because he was a mass murderer and a Baathist. So while there have been massive demonstrations in the Middle East against the US for the invasion of Iraq, most of the local national governments took it pretty quietly. That will NOT happen is the US invades ANOTHER Middle Eastern country, this time one led by a democratic leader with no blood on his hands. The Middle East will not stand by and watch as another state becomes a US hegemon.
I don't believe invasion is being considered.
Rather I think the USA, possibly with Turkish and/ or Israeli help might conduct limited military action against Iran's nuclear facilities. I see nothing to indicate the USA has any desire to invade Iran.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
And then there is the issue of what the US could do, even if it wanted to. Right now the US cannot even meet its existing operational requirements. Soldiers in Iraq have huge backlogs of replacements, equipment and vehicles awaiting which the government is struggling to provide. The US is only able to maintain its bwlow-necessary troop levels at what they are by abandoning deployments around the world, such as Germany and Japan, and by issuing stop-loss orders to keep existing troops from rotating out. Recruitment is down, and Iraq is still bloody. There is no conceivable way the US could get involved in another conflict right now, let alone with Iran.
Destroying Iran's nuclear infrastructure would not require large amounts of manpower.
QUOTE(Vermillion)
Not to mention that Iran is not a tough nut to crack. Its army is smaller than Hussein’s 1990 army, but it is more technologically advanced, it has integrated air defence, and Mainstay C&C aircraft, something Iraq never had. In addition, the quiet limited assistance Iran is sending to Iraq, in the way of equipment, but no men, would have the gloves taken off. Iraq would destabilise even further, and rather than two battlefields, Iraq and Iran would merge into one, and possibly Afghanistan as well. Iran’s troops are not conscripts, fighting for a tyrant out of fear, they are volunteers, well trained and equipped, fighting out of nationalism and pride for their democratic government. The Mass surrenders in Iraq would likely not reoccur.
In order for Iran's military to engage the US forces, they would have to move out of Iran.
The US forces might suffer losses, but the Iranian military is nothing special and out gunned and out flanked by America's overwhelmining military superiority the Iranians would be wiped out. Their only advantage is to hold the ground they already have. Only in defending Iran can they stay strong but then they are limited to whether or not America commits ground troops to attacking Iran.
QUOTE(bucket)
I think when we have our one and only Danish member of

( that would be you
moif) in favor of ratcheting up the aggression in our demands that Iran adheres to her international commitments then this argument you have that America is once again appearing to be in support of a very dangerous, unilateral and unpopular means of approach is fairly unfounded.
Well, first off, I should point out that we have two Danes at AD. The other being Carlsen.
Secondly, I should add that I don't speak on behalf of Europe
Apart from this, yes I think we should be harder on Iran. In effect we are being threatened. With Saddam Hussein gone, there is no nation that threatens Iran so just who are these nuclear ambitions meant for?
If Iran's intentions are truly peaceful then lets see Mahmoud Ahmadinejad issue a public apology to Israel.