QUOTE(Vermillion @ Feb 1 2006, 06:15 AM)
So imagine my surprise to find out that the US has not constructed a new oil refinery since 1976.
This is a very misleading statistic. It doesn't take into account expansion at existing facilities.
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Instead, refiners have chosen to meet demand by expanding existing facilities.
Refiners have added 1.4 million barrels per day of crude processing capacity at existing plants, which is equivalent to adding twelve new refineries. Motor gasoline production has increased 13% over the same period (from 7.2 million to 8.2 million barrels per day, or bpd).
From
Energy Information AgencyQUOTE
So hopefully we now have a different point of view on wheither the Oil companies are 'gouging' the people. Not only are they doing so, but they are deliberatly weakening the energy infrastructure of the US for increased profit margins.
Or, as is actually the case, the low profit margin at refineries is what is driving these actions. As shown above, refineries have expanded in size to take advantage of economies of scale. This allows refineries to operate on the very small profit margin they have. This has been the driving factor of the tactics you allude to (but provide no evidence of, I might add). In other words, if it weren't for these tactics, some of these refineries might have to be closed,
reducing national capacity rather than increasing it. Regardless, it's very hard to equate
low profit margin with
gouging.
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"The 10-year average return on investment in the (refining) industry is about 5.5 percent, about what investors could receive by investing in government bonds with little or no risk," says Bob Slaughter president of the National Petrochemical and Refiners Association.
(I had a link during a previous debate indicating even lower margins, in the 2-3% range, but, alas, can't find it now)
So, the scenario we have is that current refineries are bases on a model of very high capacity and very high utilization. Oil companies don't want new refineries built because it will reduce utilization at current facilities rendering them unprofitable. Considering the huge amounts of capital they have tied up in these facilities, this is quite understandable.
Now, I'm not against the creation of new refineries. Since demand continues to rise--and as Katrina showed--new refineries are probably essential. But, in order to get there, it's important to fully and accurately understand the dynamics that have created the current situation.
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why is that conservatives always act as "if you don't die, it's ok"?
I don't know. Why is it that liberals always act like if the government doesn't fix it, it won't happen?
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A smarty pants says by stock, sure, thats for people who have a few thousand overflow in their bank account to gamble.
What are the stupidy pants saying?
And, if indeed gouging is going on, why would such an investment be a gamble? Everyone should have money saved for retirement (unless they're relying on the rest of us to pay for their Social Security, which is a different debate)....so, the question is merely what to invest in. The point being that it would seem to make sense for those decrying price gouging to put their money where there mouth is. This would not only be profitable, but also give them a greater voice in how that company operates. This is how capitalism works. Or is this smarty pants talk again?
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I see Hummers on the road, but they are not the average person. They are rich and do not care, they are GOP'ers who get big tax cuts and have never conserved a thing in their life.
Ah, I see. Could you please provide the links with evidence for this conclusion?
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I agree with you that politicians generally have no stones to fix this problem, but to say it's no big deal is way off the mark. It is indeed a big deal.
I believe my argument is being misunderstood. In no way am I trying to indicate this is no big deal. Quite the opposite, in fact. It is an almost unimaginably huge deal, which would require almost unimaginably massive investment to fix. It is in fact the sheer hugeness of the problem that prevents the government from taking effective action on it. Any such programs would require such huge investment that the funding of them would require massive tax increases that no politician is willing to propose. Oil is, quite literally, used for EVERYTHING...if not outright, then as a component in a product, or in the machines that made, or the system that transported it to market. So, along with those massive tax increases, we're likely to see large price increases as well. So, the government has done what seems to be the most pragmatic thing...take steps to ensure the supply of oil for as long as possible, allowing market forces to develop and implement alternatives. I'm not against moving that process along, and for all the reasons you would likely cite. However, I think far too many people lack an appreciation of the real magnitude of the problem, and what it would really take to move away from oil...problems which tend to render many proposed solutions unfeasible.