TedN5:
I answered the first question posed on its on own terms, in my otherwise own inimitable fashion. The disgruntled generals are otherwise apparently not claiming that Rumsfeld & Co. botched the politics of our "crusade" in Iraq, but instead that Rummy & Co. are "deaf" because they put political considerations above military considerations. Since you've read Fall, then you know just how wrong that assessment may very well be, and given the lack of specifics on the details, why should you or I conclude other than that the assessment is rather open to question? The criticism from the disgruntled otherwise sounds a lot like the "looking for a scapegoat" mentality of those who have often been heard to proclaim that it wasn't us but the politicians who lost the war.
Now on to the matters that you raised, well, first, the one that you called a separate issue. Strategic blunder? For a rather rich and savory irony, no less than General Zinni might, well, he ought to conclude otherwise. I'll try and find a link to the interview when circumstances permit, but I recall General Zinni, opponent of the war before it started, reporting that while Saddam did not have an operating prohibited weapons program, he did have his affairs arranged such that he would be able to ramp-up such a program once Hans & Co. gave Iraq a clean bill of health and oversight and sanctions later ended. Maybe it's just me, but the mind tends to boggle at the notion that one opposed the war because no operating program existed but yet all that could be in place was in place to begin/resume such a program once the lights went out and the crowd left the hall. Again, maybe it's just me, but I call that a distinction without much in the way of difference, at least if one's view extends beyond next year. Or should I say, if the choice is, attack now with a rather weakened Iraqi military the opponent, or attack at some later date when the Iraqi military might not be in such a weakened state, that we attack now.
Now let me interrupt the flow and deal with what has been called my "rant." Maybe so, but why not? And why also not tossing my cookies, or as I said, puke? Fine, you are not Rumsfeld's biggest fan, but some, one, of those doing the criticizing, well, since you are familiar with the late Bernard Fall, from his Street Without Joy:
"Americans still have to learn from the French that the latter lost during the Indochina war over 500 armored vehicles, 398 of which (almost two armored divisions!) were destroyed by enemy action between 1952 and 1954.
The most important aspect of that part of the war was that eighty-four percent of those vehicles were lost through mines and booby-traps and only a handful through conventional anti-tank weapons. Present operations in South Vietnam confirm that [the] Viet-Minh have none of their fearsome ability to lay traps for motorized convoys. Many an ambush in recent months differed only in size from that which destroyed G.M. [or, mobile group] 100 in 1954. Otherwise, the errors of the friendly forces and the tactics of our enemy were entirely the same."
The
italics are in the original, while the [/B]bold[B] is my emphasis. Now answer this question for me: how many people have we lost in Iraq to IEDs? And for question no. 2, do such persons represent the majority of our combat deaths in Iraq? Ted, as you can see from Bernard Fall, we and the French have already been there and done that. And bad enough that we didn't learn from the French and thereby avoid a portion of the debacle that was Vietnam, but to have not learned, despite Bernard's plea, then having gone through it ourselves, and then not learned again, and now having to go through it again, is, well, how about a bit too much too ask and/or a good reason to rant and puke? Let me put it this way, Street Without Joy was first published in 1961, then again in 1963, and then again in 1964. And as you presumably know, Bernard Fall lost his life while on patrol with US troops in Vietnam. So it wasn't like he was off in some dark corner speaking to imagined demons. And what do we find some 40 or so years later [1964-2004]? Well, the reason to rant and puke:
"We had a steep learning curve to figure out exactly how these individuals employing improvised explosive devices against us, and I believe we can identify just about 50-50 now, 50 percent, one out of two we identify an IED."
That was General Swannack at a briefing in Iraq...but "steep learning curve"? Maybe we might have needed to "modify" to fit the local circumstance, but a steep learning curve when the Viet-Minh had already used IEDs to great effect against both French and US forces in IndoChina?
And, Ted, this hardly qualifies as a ringing endorsement of General Swannack:
"'Its good to see the Marines here, sir,' says Sgt. Arthur McIntyre, of the 82nd Airborne. 'They are very particular about the IEDs...how they get set up, how do you look out for them.'"
So, Sgt. McIntyre, proud member, and rightly so, of the 82nd Airborne Division, apparently needs to rely on the US Marines to keep him safe from IEDs [and any Marine reading this has just smiled and raised that glass]. But re that "steep learning curve," didn't someone think that with the advent of remote controlled devices and cellular phones that some others might replace the proximity nature of their IEDs with the remote controlled and/or the dialed up? How long have we had remote controlled toys for our children? And how long have we had cellular phones? With the answers to those questions in mind, I am wondering why this occurred when it did, and as opposed to some time prior [
http://www.military.com/soldiertech/0,1463...ch_IED,,00.html ]:
"So far, the strongest push to silence the bombs has come from the Army, which has ordered thousands of radio frequency jammers from Simi Valley, California firm EDO Communications & Countermeasures. The devices, called Warlock Green and Warlock Red, intercept "the signal sent from a remote location to the IED instructing it to detonate," an Army official told the military newsletter Inside Defense. The signal "cannot make contact, therefore when it can't make contact it doesn't detonate," he added. "[It's like] the cell phone never gets through, but [enemy forces] think it goes through.
The machines are based on an earlier EDO product, the Shortstop Electronic Protection System, which is designed to protect troops against proximity-fused weapons, like mortar rounds and artillery shells. But the Army won't say much about these updated devices -- to the chagrin of many policy makers. Last week, however, service chiefs signed a contract with EDO for an additional 1,440 Warlock jammers, to be delivered in May at a cost of more than $56 million."
I suppose that the best that can be said in this regard is better late than never.
And lastly before we get back to the Marines, please notice what Bernard Fall was not addressing in the passage I quoted above: lost human life. He was only writing about the destruction of vehicles. Not necessarily as important as human lives, but for an army that lives according to our understanding of the word "mobile," vehicles are rather essential to our method/mode of conducting warfare. And on that note, please further note that, in a very real sense, the whole uparmored humvee episode missed the point, as in, fine, more of us will live with uparmored humvees, but the vehicle itself has a rather essential value and so it too must be protected accordingly.
Now on to the Marines. Well, before we get to the Marines, more Army embarrassment, by way of operating as another "tie-in" point:
"What we have here is basically a constabulary action. I mean, this is pretty much the Old West here. Peacekeeping. Where are the regiment on regiment, division on division engagements? We've seen almost nothing above the squad level. Basically this is not a real war."
That message was brought to you courtesy of Lt. Colonel William Darley. Not a real war? But, Colonel, some are dying like it's a real war. If one combines this statement with that other one I posted prior about strange conflict resolution, then one might better appreciate the apparent magnitude of the ignorance. And, Colonel, the real war is political, and so your army is merely the tactical appendage to the political struggle. If you'd understood that, then you would not be saying that this is not a real war, and maybe then we'd not need some dead Americans on hand to prove to you that, yes, this is a real war.
Ted, these are the people that some want to use to validate their criticism of Rumsfeld? Well, if so, I suppose then that the only fitting response would be: Steep learning curves in a war that's not real...better your motto than mine. Or at least that would be my response if all concerned were not otherwise Americans who presumably care about our troops.
Now on to our good friends, the US Marines. It is a real war to them. And so they are able to provide assistance to the US Army's 82nd Airborne Division. And the war is otherwise so real to them that they have what they call their small wars manual. Please see:
http://www.nwc.navy.mil/jmo/nopc/Book%20Re...0-%20Parker.htm"Some might question the continued utility of a field manual produced prior to the Second World War, especially in light of the claim that precision-guided weapons has fundamentally changed the nature of war. But the Marine Corps’ Small Wars Manual is something unique in the annals of military literature. Unlike many of the military histories and analyses that inhabit the military professional’s bookshelves, it is not theory, it is not a dissertation, nor is it the analysis of the military’s success or failure in some action or campaign. The Small Wars Manual is a practitioner’s manual written by the Marines who successfully fought America’s small wars for the future practitioners of America’s small wars. As America comes to grips with its present Terror War instead of looking for all the answers in the future, perhaps it would behoove us to learn from the hard won lessons of past.
***
Following the First World War, the United States adopted its traditional isolationist policy and disengaged from “entanglements” in Europe. This was not the case in the Western Hemisphere, where the “Monroe Doctrine” and the Roosevelt corollary ensured continued United States diplomatic and economic involvement. Most commonly termed the “Banana Wars”, these conflicts rarely involved the investment of greater than a brigade of Marines, yet were highly successful in promoting stability and US influence in Cuba, Haiti, the Dominican Republic, and Nicaragua. An example of this success was the first incursion into Haiti in 1915. The “First Caco Revolt” (Caco being the common name for the Haitian insurrectionists) was successfully suppressed by the deployment of a Provisional Marine Brigade (2000 Marines), who within a few months established control of a country consisting of over 2 million people, with a loss of three Marines KIA and 18 Marines WIA. Considering the present investment of manpower in Bosnia, Kosovo, and Afghanistan, perhaps the lessons, tactics, techniques, and procedures of the past are applicable."
Oh, and Ted, let this also serve as my response to the criticism of some in the army that one need have hundreds of thousands, perhaps half a million, troops, in order to "pacify" a given locale.
And, Ted, re blaming others:
"The manual makes clear from the start that small wars are conceived in uncertainty, conducted often with precarious responsibility and doubtful authority, and under indeterminate orders lacking specific instructions. "
So, what is their excuse now? Seems that the US Marines are prepared to get along just fine in a small war conceived in uncertainty, conducted with precarious responsiblity and doubtful authority, and under indeterminate orders lacking specific instructions. And maybe the Army could borrow the manual and otherwise put it to good use:
"Considering the current amorphous conditions under which many of our forces operate, this manual should be in the pack of every US warrior deploying overseas."
And, lastly, perhaps the most salient point:
"The manual makes clear from the start that diplomacy has not been exhausted in these operations, and that there will be an active role for the State Department, who will often be the primary US agency conducting the operation, and that military measures alone will not re-establish peace. Additionally, it recognizes that the US incursion may range from simply assisting the host nation in re-establishing their operation to assuming the government’s role. Between these two are a whole range of possibilities of employment, which will require “the greatest ingenuity in their application”, and demand “the highest type of leadership directed by intelligence, resourcefulness, and ingenuity”."
Ted, what was what it that Clint said in that movie, you know, Heartbreak Ridge [not that I'm vouching for all of the movie, since I'm not], but what was it that he said? Improvise, adapt, overcome...Spoken like a true Marine, right out of the manual.
And that exit strategy that some ALWAYS talk about? Well, sorry, one more:
"What makes this publication so different from other current military publications is that it...looks to adapt each campaign to the character of the native people, with the understanding that the indigenous forces will usually have better information, forcing the US forces to either swim or drown in the “fog of war”. There will be no defined area of operations, nor a recognized exit date. In many ways, the military philosopher Sun Tzu would applaud its tenets: encouraging caution and steadiness, and “simple displays of force”, not overwhelming US power."
And, Ted, Bernard Fall would have been proud of the Small Wars Manual:
"It recognizes that ultimate victory will only be possible if the root causes for resistance are addressed to the population, be they social, political, or economic. This can only be determined by a study of the history and culture of the native people and mastered by experience in country. Likewise it recognizes a psychological ascendancy in these types of operations, which speaks directly to re-directing the perceptions and beliefs of the native population, either by psychological operations, or by undercutting the insurgents’ popular support by addressing some of the causes of dissent. Attacking those furnishing material support or improving the lives of the population, obviating their need for insurrectionists, can accomplish this. Personal conduct of US forces must be beyond reproach as “they judge the United States and the ideals and standards of its people by the conduct of its representatives.” Even-handedness and cognizance of belligerent parties, local politics, and customs is one of the keys to creditability and success."
Ted, somebody understands RW...and somebody doesn't. Apparently, unlike the Army, the Marines understand the value of having been there and done that. And they not only have the manual, but an online journal as well:
http://www.smallwarsjournal.com/documents/wynn.htmAnd lucky for me, we find in that journal:
"Thesis: General Westmoreland believed that pure military action, mass mobilization and search and destroy missions, were the solutions to defeating the North Vietnamese Army and the Viet Cong guerrillas. The Marines better understood the nature of the Vietnam conflict and on a small scale, without sufficient support, were able to combat the spread of communism more effectively than any other civilian or military organization."
A rather bold claim. For some specifics:
"The initial purpose of the Combined Action Platoon was to provide protection for the village and its people from insurgents. It evolved into civic action that in turn, established close ties with the villagers. The villagers gained respect for the Marines because they resided in the village with them. By living among the Vietnamese, Marines were not compelled to conduct their weekly raids in order to clear the village of Viet Cong. This minimized the “everyone is a suspect” attitude. The reduction of harassment towards the Vietnamese people afforded the Marines to observe that the people would rather not support the Viet Cong but were intimidated and unable to defend themselves. They preferred to work their crops, continue their way of life, and live in peace.
The people started to believe that the village, surrounding areas and the inhabitants meant something to the American Forces. The Marines worked closely with the PF's [Popular Forces] in tactics and improving the PF’s effectiveness in combating the enemy, however, the team went further, assisting in farming, erecting schools, and digging or improving wells. Medical attention was also a large part of the program. The respect that was gained from assisting the people was invaluable. These somewhat meaningless tasks to the average person opened lines of communication and helped the Marines to understand the Vietnamese people. It also restored pride among the people and allowed them to help themselves.
***
The adoption of a village proved to be advantageous for the Popular Forces, Marines and people of the village. The CAP established trust between the servicemen and Vietnamese, and the Vietnamese opened up the desperately needed lines of communication with the Marines. The villagers began to feel comfortable with discussing the problems that they were having with the Viet Cong, and explained their fears and concerns about taking an active part against them. The exchange of information allowed the US Marines to carry out their missions while protecting the citizens and ensuring their commitment to them. A family atmosphere and cohesion was established because the Marines didn’t come and go, but stayed in support of the people in the event that the Viet Cong retaliated against the village. The Marines lived among them, ate with them, farmed with them, conducted village projects with them, but foremost kept the Viet Cong from being able to support their war effort. This system paid off as it quickly gave the villages the sense that "they were all in it together”, and that they would prevail or fail as one. It was extremely importany that the Marines live among the people, particularly because the villagers knew that the Marines had nothing to gain by staying. In the eyes of the PF’s and the Vietnamese people, it became clear that the Americans were not the enemy and that they truly cared about them. Barriers were broken and an alliance was predicated by assured hope. The Vietnamese people literally took the Marines in and in some cases considered them their own. The people felt a strong sense of guardianship towards the Marines and developed a sense of emotional responsibility for them. This attitude helped save many Marines lives."
Ted, sound to you like some people understand the nature of revolutionary warfare and the need to have the people and us emerge on the same side of the fight? And that's a far cry from subjecting some to pain, as the disgruntled general put it. And that's why, by the prior report, the 101st had better results than did the 82nd, since the 101st did more things in the way humanitarian and less things in the way of subjecting some to pain. And to make the Marines' case, recall again what Bernard Fall wrote, to wit, the people are the battleground. And so we find in that same article on the smallwarsjournal website:
"For the Marines it allowed them to get involved, be responsible, and feel personally involved with their one piece of the war. By being assigned to one area of responsibility (AOR) it allowed them to know, understand and become very familiar with the terrain in which they were conducting operations. It gave them a cause, purpose, and a sense of understanding that what they were doing in Vietnam was going to make a difference. The Combined Action Program made the efforts of the riflemen rewarding; it justified their presence in Vietnam.
That justification was not always their fellow Marine, but the lives of the Vietnamese people that they ate and worked along side of every day. In the months that the Marines spent in the Combined Action Program, it made the war human. The center of gravity for the CAP was the established relationship between the Marines, villagers and the PF’s."
For Fall, the people are the battle; for the Marines, they are the center of gravity.
And for more on the agreement betwen Fall and the Marines, please note that the same article on the smallwarsjournal website also reports, QUOTING PARET AND SHY's GUERRILLAS IN THE 1960s:
"It is erroneous to think that military defeat pure and simple will be a final solution. Unless the population has been weaned away from the guerrilla and his cause, unless reforms and re-education have attacked the psychological base of guerrilla action, unless the political network backing him up has been destroyed, military defeat is only a pause and fighting can easily erupt again. The worst military mistake in fighting guerrillas is to treat them as if they were conventional opponents. In the long run, the ability to control certain pieces of ground, or to mount periodic expeditions into and out of a particular area, means little in this sort of warfare."
And Fall's Street Without Joy provides:
"As Peter Paret and John W. Shy correctly point out in their slim volume on Guerrillas in the 1960s,
...The current assumption that the popular mind, especially in illiterate, unsophisticated societies, can be manipulated at will is false. Unlike machine gun bolts, ideologies are not easily interchangeable...
Thus the tasks of counterguerilla warfare are as much political as military--or even more so; the two continually interact. As with the guerillas themselves, political considerations may often have to override military considerations if permanent success is to be achieved."
Ted, what was it, again, that the disgruntled said? Something about Rumsfeld turning a "deaf" ear to their military considerations in favor of his "political objectives"? In light of all of the above, need I say more? And please note what I did not say, that Rumsfeld was right on the specifics. I didn't say that because the disgruntled have chosen to speak more in terms of vague generality and not specifics, and as concerns the general, Rumsfeld is right and they are wrong, since Rumsfeld does indeed need to hold dear the notion that the political is supreme and the military subordinate.
Oh, sorry, let me interrupt the discussion by way of a brief return to Truong Chinh. As Bernard Fall reports in Street Without Joy, in his 1947 work La Resistance Vaincra [The Resistance Will Win], Truong Chinh relates, among other items:
"...[there are] those who have a tendency only to rely on military action...They tend to believe that everything can be settled by armed force; they do not apply political mobilization, are unwilling to give explanations and to convince people;...fighting spiritedly, they neglect political work; they do not...act in such a way that the army and the people can wholeheartedly help one another..."
And back to IEDs, their wreaking havoc on our troops, and the rather belated preparations to deal with the same [
http://www.defendamerica.mil/articles/jan2...a011905wm2.html ]:
"Members of the Joint Improvised Explosive Device-Defeat Task Force spoke to 4th Infantry Division soldiers here Jan. 11-13 about improvised explosive devices, one of the main weapons of choice used against U.S. forces in Iraq.
***
During the class, Williams discussed several threat indicators and how to become aware of whether an improvised explosive device may be present. New dirt or gravel piles, personnel on overpasses, absence of the ordinary, and obstacles in the roadway are all signs of a possible improvised explosive device attack.
***
“Look for existing holes or previous [improvised explosive device] sites. Look for freshly covered holes and new dirt piles. Look for red wires. Avoid overpasses, potholes and manhole covers. Drive in the center of the road,” he said.
“Most importantly, conduct every convoy as a combat operation,” Williams told the soldiers. “You must be aggressive.”
For many soldiers, the training proved to be an eye opener and taught them a bit more on what to expect from the enemy."
Just one question, why isn't this already a part of the basic training for every soldier assigned to or otherwise destined to serve in a combat unit? And, fine, you can blame Rumsfeld if you like, but he hasn't been running the show from 1964 through the present. And given that he's a politico and the disgruntled generals are not, I expect them, and not Rumsfeld, to be primarily responsible for the proper training of the troops. The disgruntled may have to come with hat in hand to beg for this or that weapons system, this or that parcel of real estate for some new base, and this or that troop level to ensure that we have the people we need, but when it comes to telling them to exercise care when on or near overpasses, such is first and foremost the job of the disgruntled and not Rumsfeld. Or if you prefer, you may blame Rumsfeld for this particular failure if such is your desire, but please know, going back to General Swannack's remarks, that Rummy is a politician and not a military man, while Swannack is a military man and not a politician. And so, it is General Swannack, and not Rumsfeld, who ought to have known of the threat posed by the rather likely use of IEDs by an outnumbered, outgunned, and in other respects, outtrained, force of former Ba'athist regime elements, and he should have ensured that his troops were properly trained to meet that threat, and never mind concerns about just who respects who.
Now that I've concerned myself, you, and some others with the rebuttal to the disgrunted, there is the matter of the systematic looting that you mentioned. We have had some looting in our country during the last decade or so, and I've yet to see the same give rise to any insurgency. So while I will admit that the Iraqi people would have been better served if we had been able to prevent the noted looting, kind of hard to blame the insurgency on any looting. Now, if we were the ones who had done the looting, then of course that would be an entirely other story. I otherwise trust that while the Iraqis might be a little unhappy with the initial breakdown of "law and order", that they also understand that it was simply not possible for us to provide a substitute "law and order" under the circumstances then prevailing. Which brings me to your and my next items...
Failure to secure arsenals? And dismissing the Iraqi army? Is the claim here that the speed of our victory over the Iraqi Ba'athist regime worked to our disadvantage? Or more correctly, that the utter collapse of the Iraqi armed forces worked to our disadvantage in this regard? And was the reality here otherwise unique in any respect? Which is to say that I am thinking real hard trying to recall when this scenario has existed before. I mean, the usual circumstance is that we secure arsenals, if any, as we ourselves assume control of specific real property, which is usually accomplished following defeat of the opposition in some battle or other, and the other side continues to control that part of their arsenal that is not under our newly assumed control. How often does the opposition simply evaporate and leave much of their arsenal in place? Fine, we "officially" dissolved the Iraqi armed forces, but the reality is that long before that was done, the Iraqi armed forces had disintegrated and more or less evaporated [as Scott Ritter (of all people) reported: "one must remember that the majority of pro-regime forces, especially those military units most loyal to Hussein, as well as the entirety of the Iraqi intelligence and security forces, never surrendered. They simply melted away."]. What happened, as you well know, is that when the fighting more or less ended, the members of the Iraqi armed forces simply went home and they took whatever they thought worth taking with them when they went. And going back to our first item of discussion, what was left by them was then looted by some others.
Now back to what some might have reasonably expected to occur, which is to say that if the Iraqi armed forces [or more correctly, a constituent part thereof] had to bag out because we were hot on their tails and for whatever reason they couldn't take it with 'em when they left, the usual SOP would be to blow up or otherwise render inoperable those arms and munitions being left behind so as deny the enemy [us] use of the same. And if bagging out wasn't an option [nowhere to go], there's always that thing called the surrender in place, and so the various elements of the Iraqi armed forces could have rather easily maintained themselves as units in control of their own arsenals and then surrendered themselves and their arsenals to our troops when called upon to surrender. And, yes, I expected the "generals" on their side to bag out, but one might have hoped that some residual and/or rudimentary sense of honor and pride in self, unit, armed force, and country, would have compelled instructions to the major to take command of the troops, secure the base and all things located thereon, and wait for the demand for surrender, and, yes, major, I trust your judgment when it comes to doing right by the troops and so I know that you will effectuate the surrender of our forces on the best possible terms. And then maybe the major has the honor and pride to do his duty. But it didn't happen that way and coupled with the speed of our advance, their evaporation without any apparent consideration of what will come of their leaving all of these weapons and munitions behind for any ole soul to make his own, created the unminded arsensals that you wrote of. And to that can be added that we didn't even know where any number, a large number, of arsenals were located. And we probably still don't [most armies don't bury arsenals all over the landscape, but Saddam did].
And, Ted, might I suggest that the criticism itself is otherwise unfair, at least in a certain sense. Do you admit that we cannot protect the average Iraqi from the violence of the insurgents? If so, then how can you object to Abdul the Iraqi keeping a locked and loaded Kalashnikov in his bedroom closet? And given the prior history, more specifically, our standing by and watching Saddam and the Ba'athists have fun with the Kurds, the Marsh Arabs, and all those Shia who were urged to rebel and revolt under Bush I, why would we expect any Iraqi to rely on us for their protection? Let me put it this way, given the prior history and the rather incredible uncertainty concerning all things future, if I had happened to be an Iraqi in Iraq at the time, the very first thing I would have done is procured myself an AK-47 or two or three or four, along with a rather healthy supply of ammunition for the same.
And lastly re the purported dismissal [evaporation] of the Iraqi army, I found this interesting remark on Islam Online [
http://www.islamonline.net/English/News/20...article02.shtml ]:
"Another volunteer, 20-year-old Nazeeh Abbas from Baghdad, who served in the dissolved Iraqi army, highly appreciated what he termed as "the very good treatment by the U.S. training force, compared with the ‘rough’ treatment by the former Iraqi officers.""
Oh, and Ted, General Eaton is on record as taking personal responsiblity for the evaporation of that first attempt to get that first unit of the new Iraqi army to take the field with us during our attempts to reduce/destroy the insurgency in Fallujah. The only specific criticisms that I've heard the General make are: (1) the call for the training of a new Iraqi army occurred a tad bit too late [i.e., subsequent to the actual invasion of Iraq, when, according to Eaton, it should have been planned for before] and (2) he and his project were never fully staffed and resourced. The latter criticism may have merit, though I must confess that I simply do not have access to the necessary information to make my own informed judgment in that regard. As concerns the former criticism, maybe the late call was owing to what I reported above, i.e., no one thought that the Iraqi army would simply evaporate and there was otherwise no plan to totally dissolve the Iraqi army, and so when the evaporation occurred, some were caught with their pants down [as it were]. If that can be called a mistake, then call it a mistake, but please note that some mistakes made are more reasonable/understandable than others. I would not have anticipated the evaporation, which is not to say that I would not have expected some to simply melt away so that they might live to fight another day by way of an insurgency, as indeed I expected that part, but I didn't think that the poor [literally] privates and corporals would simply bag out [might as well stay and see if the new powers that be have any use for one, especially if there's a salary involved].
And re planning as a general matter, from someone who claims to have been involved at the time, and please note the rather lively commentary re Defense Department versus State Department [
http://www.nationalreview.com/rubin/rubin200405030836.asp ]:
"Ironically, it was the Defense Department and not the State Department which sought to implement the recommendations of the Future of Iraq Program's "Transition to Democracy" report. The report is worth reading. According to its preamble, "Nothing...requires the United Nations or United States to police or manage into existence the new and budding democratic institutions. That is a challenge that the people of Iraq must and will face up to on their own." The Defense Department agreed and proposed immediate sovereignty for a government combining exiles with "internals," weighted to the latter. It was a surprise when we learned the State Department opposed its own recommendations and sought to promote exiles like Adnan Pachachi known not for his opposition to Saddam Hussein during his decades in exile, but rather for his oft-stated opposition to Kuwait's right-to-exist.
We were fiercely opposed by the State Department when we wanted to plan for the future. Future of Iraq program director Tom Warrick and others stonewalled Defense Department attempts to train a Free Iraqi Force (FIF). Had the program been implemented fully, it would have helped co-opt and coordinate Iraqi Army conscripts as they switched their allegiance from Saddam Hussein's government, to that of the Iraqi people.
***
While pundits blame the Pentagon for dissolution of Iraq's army, the truth of the matter is that the Iraqi military dissolved itself. Conscripts, long-abused and humiliated by the predominantly Sunni Arab officer corps, simply returned home. Mid-level officers returned to the private sector or joined the Iraq Civil Defense Corps. Senior military officers like Jasim went into hiding, fearing popular retribution for their crimes. While Iraq did not degenerate into the degree of vigilantism predicted by the Future of Iraq program, Iraqis do remain bitter about the abuses of the past. When I visited Nasiriyah in October 2003, locals said that Interior Minister Nouri Badran would be unwelcome in their city because he had hired as his secretary an officer whom residents said personally executed 30 locals following the 1991 uprising.
***
The State Department opposed involving the IRDC in Iraq's reconstruction, perhaps fearing the challenge those familiar with Iraqi society might make to Foggy Bottom's long-held assumptions regarding the role of tribal sheikhs and Islamists in society. Some ambassadors even refused to speak with IRDC colleagues. State Department officials working for Jay Garner sought to stall IRDC deployment claiming lack of space at a time when beds were available. The racism and condescension toward Iraqi Americans were typified by a meeting which Garner called in early May 2003, at the request of his State Department aides. Gathering IRDC members around him, he told them that the diplomats were in charge and, as "Iraqis" they should subordinate themselves to the "Americans." The Pentagon learned of the incident and Garner apologized the following day for insinuating that Iraqi Americans were somehow less American than career diplomats. Nevertheless, the attitude pervaded. And so liberation became occupation, with sheltered American diplomats eating food flown in from Kuwait while the IRDC employees patronized local markets and ate in Baghdad restaurants. While Coalition officials lived in Baghdad's showpiece Rashid Hotel or air-conditioned trailers, many IRDC officials rented apartments in Baghdad. The office of Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA) administrator L. Paul Bremer distributed brand-new SUVs to American diplomats, many of whom seldom drove outside the Green Zone, but forced IRDC head Emad Dhia to purchase a car in Baghdad out of pocket so that he and other IRDC members could inspect factories and ministry offices, talk to workers, and generally do the jobs which Arabic-speaking diplomats failed to do. More than 150 IRDC members have served their country well. They have helped calm protests in Sadr City, and have identified security and political problems in the countryside. One IRDC member in Basra made the ultimate sacrifice, bound, gagged, and executed while investigating a smuggling and corruption ring.
While first the Office of Reconstruction and Humanitarian Assistance and then its successor Coalition Provisional Authority (CPA), reported to the Defense Department, the State Department retained effective control over the political operation. Of the first 18 senior advisers deployed to Baghdad, none were from the Defense Department; perhaps half were State Department bureau of Near Eastern affairs ambassadors or policy-planning staff members.
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Deputy Assistant Secretary of State Ryan Crocker became both Garner and Bremer's governance director. He handpicked the political team, staffing it almost exclusively with career Near Eastern Affairs diplomats and members of the Policy Planning Staff. I have worked on the Iraqi issue for several years, and knew many of the diplomats and analysts from de-briefings following the academic year I spent teaching in Iraqi Kurdistan. Few supported Bush administration policy. In a seminar I attended before joining government, one U.S. diplomat spoke about the fallacy of regime change in Iraq. Several diplomats openly disparaged President Bush. One high-ranking career diplomat spoke of his affection for Howard Dean. I was surprised to see that a particular British analyst had joined the governance group. Shortly before the September 11, 2001,terror attacks, he had argued that any Saddam replacement would be "as illegitimate as Israel." Rather than promote democrats and liberals, the Crocker team sought to stack the Governing Council with Islamists, Arab nationalists, and tribal leaders; they largely succeeded."
So why are we blaming Rumsfeld? And hasn't the complaint always been, from both Democrats and Republicans, that we have to get control of these career bureaucrats in the State Department? Administrations and their party may change, but the 'crats at the State Department continue to serve on, and as you well know, any and all administrations have rather frustratingly complained that State sometimes acts as a brake on administration policy.
Now on to American puppets, what puppets are you talking about? I am not aware of any Iraqi who could have and/or can still be called an "American puppet." I know that it is all the rage and much in fashion on the left to refer to any and all foreign nationals who support opposed US policies as "puppets", but we are adults and not children and so something more than mere name calling is in order in this regard. Oh, sorry, an example. There was some piece appearing on the Counterpunch website having to with "American puppets" and I was struck by the claim that someone who the author claims lied to US officials was our "puppet." If we assume the lies, wouldn't the reverse be true, as in the US is the liar's puppet? Apparently, such thoughts don't occur to our friends running Counterpunch. So if you would be gracious enough to provide some more detail on just who are our puppets in Iraq, then we can discuss the matter further.
But while I'm near the subject, please note that this is one instance wherein the "this is just like Vietnam" mantra does not hold. The elections in Iraq were model elections when compared with those held during our era in Vietnam, and unlike the district/local/village chiefs who were appointed by way of political cronyism and thus were also the subjects and objects of much resentment, the interim Iraqi government isn't doing that and, as stated, the elections can otherwise be called "fair." So to give credit where credit is due, we've already avoided one problem that plagued us in Vietnam.
And now onto mistreatment, abuse, and/or torture of persons in our custody. Ted, you'll have to either forgive or indulge me [or both], but this is the allegation that gets one's, my, blood to boiling. How stupid do you think that Rumsfeld is? Before you answer, ever hear those two words, to wit, plausible deniability? Somehow, I cannot help but think that if Rumsfeld were all gung-ho re the mistreatment, abuse and/or torture of our detainees, then we wouldn't have ever read of glow sticks up the ole wazoo and we wouldn't have ever seen pictures of any naked human pyramid. And here, I am dividing the moral from the practical, i.e., you could always blame Rumsfeld, in the moral sense, for authorizing and/or condoning any abuse, mistreatment, and/or torture, but the stupidity involved in providing a good propaganda tool for our opposition is just that, stupidity, and never mind whether the underlying conduct at issue is moral in the abstract or not. And, sorry, but the disgruntled general otherwise needs to know that it was his Army that was caught taking the photos and then sending them home. And going back to my dichotomy, while some may have to answer to Deity for any abuse, mistreatment, and/or torture, the propaganda coup provided by the photos is a whole other matter and I don't think that we can blame Rumsfeld for that. Which is to say that in terms of winning this war, it isn't the abuse, mistreatment, and/or torture that are the problem, but the photos, and while Rummy authorized what some would call torture, he didn't authorize photos, nor did he authorize that any such photos be sent home. And, lastly, re this matter, I will offer this to the disgruntled, the words of a now retired major general: "This is beyond the pale in terms of lack of command attention. Where were the flag officers? And I’m not just talking about a one-star...This was a huge leadership failure."
Yeah, Ted, where were they? The response of the disgruntled: uhhh, it was incompetent and undertrained soldiers. And you know he was talking about those in the photos and not those with stars on their bars. Call it buck-passing at its worst. And, Ted, unlike the buck-passer, at least Rumsfeld was honest enough to report that he initially "failed to recognize how important this was".
Lastly, you do know what the disgruntled are truly angry over, yes? Rumsfeld, in a memo to aides:
"Our prerequisite of perfection for ‘actionable intelligence’ has paralyzed us. We must accept that we may have to take action before every question can be answered."
One response back:
"[you should] break the 'belt-and-suspenders' mindset within today’s military...we 'over-plan’ for every contingency...We must be willing to accept the risks."
And some more choice words from Rumsfeld:
"DoD has been organized, trained and equipped to fight big armies, navies and air forces. It is not possible to change DoD fast enough to successfully fight the global war on terror; an alternative might be to try to fashion a new institution either within DoD or elsewhere."
How well do you think that all went over with the disgruntled? Before you answer, simply consider our Lt. Colonel who spoke of this not being a real war, and then consider that last Rumsfeld remark. So Rummy is trying to get some to fight what they don't consider a war. And so some are fighting back.