QUOTE(aevans176 @ Oct 11 2006, 06:55 PM)

For "Drunk driving Murderer" Ted Kennedy to still be a part of politics says something in itself.
You are correct, any party that would have as a leading member a person convicted of murder is abominable, and based on that alone the Democrats should be censu...
Oh, you mean he was never convicted of murder? OK, well even so, anyone who was charged with murder, or even a lesser charge of the same ilk...
Oh, you mean he was never charged with murder? In fact he was never even investigated for murder, nor was he ever charged with Drunk driving, in fact the police on the scene reported that the incident was clearly an accident?
Gee Aevans, that doesn't quite dovetail with your open comment about him being a 'drunk driving murderer'. Should we assume all the rest of your comments about the Democratic party and its members have the same loose affiliation with the truth as this one?
I hope you don't get caught in another obvious factual distortion like that one, it might ruin your rep entirely.
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This also doesn't discuss our friend Barney Frank-D, who reportedly was running a gay house of ill repute and the nation knew about it...
Yes, absolutely. Any man found guilty of running a gay-brothel should be censured and removed from politics immediately...
Oh wait, you mean he was never accused, let alone convicted of ANYTHING of the sort, and in fact it was his PARTNER that was running a telephone escort service? And both Frank AND his partner told the police that he had no knowledge of this whatsoever?
I'm beginning to wonder just how much we can trust ANY of your anti-democratic distortions here Aevans. Have you been hanging around with Ted lately?
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However, the point I've made time and time again is that you can't pin this on the Republican party any more than I can pin crimes made by other black men on the race.... it's just fundamental.
Is that even close to what is happening? Is anybody at all claiming that is what is happening? The Foley thing is bad, and probably lost the Republicans a few voters and one seat, but according to the polls (all of them) and the analysts, its the cover-up that is killing the party. Thats where the actions of one man suddenly get reflected on the leadership of the party, which seems to be exactly what is happening.
Nightimer has already destroyed your emphatic (and bolded) pronouncement that Republicans would NEVER allow such a person to stand again and be re-elected: that turned out to be about as accurate as your two previous statements above.
And I would still like to hear your comment on my previous point. If the Democrats have 'no right to be outraged' about this sex scandal because they had some of their own a Generation ago, does EXACTLY THE SAME argument not also apply to the hypocrisy of the Republicans facing Clinton's wanderings, given the chequered sexual past of their own party?
In the end, the reason this is having SUCH a negative impact on the Republicans now is simple. The Republicans have had several bastions of strength in the last few years, and one has been their eternal insistence on being the party of moral values. Now Foley's actions, and far worse, the coverup (however extensive it turns out to be) have knocked that out from under them. As I said, if this had happened in isolation it would not be so bad, but the number of bad-news-events and policy failures the Republicans are facing in the last year (or 5) have mounted to a spectacular number, and facing that is a list of policy successes that is pretty close to zero.
QUOTE(Carlitoswhey)
Back to the debate question, the impact is being completely overstated. Those polls cited by Time, The New York Times, and Newsweek aren't worth the newsprint they are printed on. I'll give details when I get more time to study the samples, but they aren't likely (or in 2 cases, even registered) voters, they oversampled Democrats, they don't apply to the districts "in play," etc. Rubbish polls, designed to print the headlines that the liberal newsrooms want out there in October. Nothing more than transparent efforts to drive down Republican turnout.
Firstly, I have always wanted to ask you: why the extra H in your name?
More importantly, I must question your dismissal of these polls.
Firstly, we are talking not one, but many polls saying exactly the same thing. Now your only valid criticism of them is that they are not district specific, but then they never claimed to be, so I’m not sure what your point is.
As for them not necessarily being registered voters, so what? Unless you have some evidence that shows that NON-registered voters favour one party or the other, this has no bearing at all. Polls of registered and non-registered voters have always shown remarkable, often exact similarity in the past, because one can safely assume the sampling of non-registered voters also affects the smaller sampling group of registered voters. That’s what basic maths tell us anyways.
Besides, even if we were to accept your criticisms of those polls, when in doubt I always go to Gallup, the single most respected polling agency on planet earth, which neither side in decades of polls has ever managed to slander or dismiss:
http://www.galluppoll.com/ELECTION2006/http://www.galluppoll.com/content/default.aspx?ci=24913http://www.galluppoll.com/content/?ci=24931Note the bottom paragraph of the last page, where they dissect the unregistered/ registered/ likely voter differences. Gallup asks if people are registered.
Hard to argue with the impact here. Now of course, this cannot be attributable entirely to Foley and the cover-up, the fact of the reports on policy failures of the last 6-months (Senate Report on no link between Iraq and Al Qaida, Intelligence report stating the War in Iraq made the US less safe, etc), and the substantial and increasing body count in Iraq are all massive factors.
In the end, I think it seems pretty likely the Republicans are heading for a nasty fall, losing control of both Houses, and a large part of that is the Foley scandal and cover-up.
It seems the American people are not buying the ‘
Oh yeah, well THEY did the same thing 33 years ago” Argument…