QUOTE(Vermillion @ Nov 8 2006, 05:41 AM)

1.Though all politics are local, it seems clear from exit polling that the Iraq war and the war on terror were important issues, yet these issues did NOT favour the Republicans as has been the standard.
Given what could be seen as a clear mandate against the Iraq war, will this and the Democratic control of one (or both) houses significantly alter how Bush Jr conducts the war in Iraq?
Well considering that Rumsfeld is now gone I would have to say that this is a "yes".

That's the easy answer. As things stand in Iraq though it appears that we are a lot closer to a pull out now than we were last year but I think a lot of this will depend on how the Iraqis react to Sadaams verdict in the long run.
QUOTE(Vermillion @ Nov 8 2006, 05:41 AM)

2. Nancy pelosi has already stated openly she will not be 'going after' Bush Jr as the new House majority leader, but that is all. Some on the right have speculated a wave of investigations into Iraq and the Bush Jr government, Rumsfeld in particular.
Who, if anyone, will the Democrats target for investigation?
I hope the answer is no one. The one thing they need to avoid at all costs right now is to be seen as a "vindictive winner". This would be worse than the Republicans being seens as "sore losers".
QUOTE(Vermillion @ Nov 8 2006, 05:41 AM)

What does this election mean for the future of the Republican party?
Good things. I really mean that. After the Republicans took control of the Presidency, Senate, AND House I disagreed with many who were relegating the Democrats to historys scrapheap. I beleive that when one party has all the power it does bad things to them. Not necessarily from a "power corrupts" side of things, all though many are pointing to the scandels that have hit the Republicans hard lately. No, what I mean is that ANY government is bad government.
I am not being anarchist when I say this as most government, especially ours, is a better alternative to no government, but I feel that governement is a necessary evil. It needs to be kept to the minimum necessary. The best way to do this is to balance government among the Parties. When one party gets too much control it will invariably start to lose that control as it has no one to blame its problems on.
As Wertz stated earlier:
QUOTE
It bodes well for the Republicans in 2008. Everything that has gone wrong with this country over the past five years will now be blamed on the next two years of Democratic leadership in the House of Representatives - and Americans are credulous enough to buy it.
I don't know that I would add the part about Americans being credulous enough to buy the blame game though. There are sheep out there, that is for sure, but I think that Americans gave the Republicans a chance to show what they could do and were disappointed. Now the Democrats get their chance. However I also think that it is the last election that counts the most. We may not be credulous but we do tend to have short memories. In two years most of the backlash that caused this turnover will have been forgotten. The pagescandall? Old news. Jack Abramoff? Who is he again? One of the biggest lighting rods in Rumsfeld will be old(er) news as well.
Nobody outside of the home states and hard core political watchers (and I include every one at

in this category) cared about the Democrats scandals such as William Jefferson. His scandal doesn't tar the whole Democratic Party as the Republican scandals did because his party was not in control. Therefore Joe Shmo in Rhode Island doesn't care as much about opposing Jeffersons party because of one bad apple. However any scandals that happen in the next two years will be worse for Democrats than Republicans because now Republicans get the "we're not in control" damage control shield, and it is a powerful shield.
QUOTE(Vermillion @ Nov 8 2006, 05:41 AM)

Bonus: Did this election set anyone up or knock anyone down for 2008 Presidential ambitions?
What does this mean for the future of the Republican party
Well as has been said I think Allen is now a has-been in the Presidential race. This election gives McCain a chance to shine as a consensus builder. Democrats got to see him as an ally before when Republicans had all the power which helped him among them. Now Republicans get to see if he can be as effective when the he doesn't have the "without me you are nothing" card he held out to the Democrats. If he can still be seen as relevant now he has a good chance of moving up. On the other hand, Romney, being seen as an outsider, without all of the scandal splatter that has affected this election, also took a huge jump forward.
Now the Democrats lose a lot and gain a lot in this election. What they mainly lose is two things. 1. The chance to sit back and let the Republicans keep shooting themselves in the foot. For all of those who see Bush as the Republicans worst enemy, he must adapt to the change and so will have to moderate some of his more polarizing stands. This is actually bad for Democrats because a lot of the middle ground will stop voting "against Bush" rather than "for Democrat". The Democrats have to stand on their own merits in the next two years and I don't know how well they can do that. They can still use Bush as an excuse if he starts Vetoing like crazy, but it won't be quite as powerful an excuse.
The second thing the lose is less tangible but still very real in my opinion. That is their underdog status. America loves an underdog. While it is not going to swing a Reagan voter to vote Mondale, I think it did swing a lot of votes Kerry's way. Popularity is going to win out every time over the underdog but when you don't have a very popular candidate some of the less decided voters are going to vote for the underdog.
Looking back at the 2004 election it is obvious that the Democrats lost their best chance of regaining the Presidency. When campaign time rolled around Bush looked invincible. So they did as they had in the past which was reward a loyal party member who had earned a chance at the presidency but really didn't have a chance while holding their stronger members for a 2008 run. They threw Kerry a bone, just like they had with Mondale and just like the Republicans had with Dole. Their thought process seemed to be: "We can't beat the incumbent so we are not going to waste a top contenders one chance on this election." The result was that a vulnerable Republican beat a weak Democratic candidate. A side effect of this was that some of the Democratic faithful now see Kerry as a legitimate candidate and he is getting more attention that should be going to candidates who are actually legitimate .
Now the Democrats are going to have to field their best against someone who won't have all the baggage of Bush and the Democrats will have a record they Republicans can attack.
Two side notes. First I hadn't thought of a Hillary, Obama ticket before but that brings up interesting possibilities. The Clinton "baggage" is falling to "short memory" syndrome and this would get to capitalize on Obamas rising star without having to worry about the "he's too young/inexperienced to be President" barriers.
Second I think Leibermans Presidential ambitions were greatly helped by this election. This doesn't mean I think he has a snowballs chance but simply that he has moved up from say, position 100 to 50 in the race. Democrats had better welcome him back to the Senate with open arms or the country as a whole will be upset. I don't mean every one in America as there will be some Democrats who will hate him as being a traitor to the party. However he won convincingly in CT and made me hopeful that the Democratic/Republican power of party is not as monolithic as it seems. One thing I have complained about before was that the primary process helps keep the lock on power at the party level rather than at the people level as those who don't register with either party simply get to choose between the two. However if this had been the case in CT Lieberman would have given up and Lamont would have won. Someone chosen by the Democrats rather than the people of CT as a whole.
If you look at the results you had the normal 5% "sheep" voters voting the party line. I can't believe that 10% of the voters thought that Schlesinger would be better than Lieberman or Lamont. Discounting the same 5% of the Democratic party line voters this means that Lieberman won by 15%. That is a huge victory for third parties. Now that the precedent has been set, others may be more willing to buck their parties to try to help bring their state the best man/woman for the job.
Sorry to get off on one of my favorite rants.