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This point has already been dealt with, you even agreed to the corrections presented previously, lord knows why you just return to repeating the same point now as though previous conversations had never happened.
This is a proposal put forward by gates, it has not passed Senate nor Congress, it has not even been fully drafted in final, it has not passed Committee approval, and in fact (as I explained with citation last time you brought it up) it was just recently put to the United States military for a feasability study estimated to take many months.
The point of this, of course, is that by your standards, no new troops will be ready for deployment for two years, in reality it will be closer to three years, IF the plan even gets put into action. So, two years or three years, why am I making such a big deal out of a year or less difference?
Because that means current troop levels, which will need to be REDUCED when this surge ends due to the strain it put on extended and premature deployment, will be the best case scenario for the next three years. So on top of the 4.6 years the war has been waged in a measurably losing manner, you suggest waiting another THREE years before there can be any significant atempt to increase troop levels and try and make a difference.
Mind you, in the PAST four years the number of active insurgents in Iraq has increased by about 800%, so can we presume the same will continue to happen? Not to mention more deaths, casualties and loss while the country fails to improve despite the best efforts of the men on the ground. Even those of the far right, when arguing FOR a surge 8 months ago, framed it as a 'last attempt to turn things around'. Well, the surge is not over, but so far there has been a complete failure to turn things around. So you will forgive me if you are greeted with a GREAT deal of skepticism when the best you can offer is maybe making another effort to increase troop levels significantly in about three years. THAT is assuming the plan is enacted, AND that is assuming that once enacted, the plan works (Many have commented that the plan requires a pool of active volunteers ready to don uniforms, which does not exist)
That gives us, not a solution, but a troop increase in three years. Except localised troop increases have been tried throughout the war (and in every other counter-insurgency in the modern era) and have all failed. So to those many and increasing numbers (both Right and Left) who think that the war is going somewhat or very badly (74% of Americans, according to recent Newsweek Poll), what do you have to offer except three years of bodybags, then More bodybags? Can you suggest a means whereby the losing status quo can be reversed? You offer many eloquent platitudes, but the issue comes down to, as the surge continues and the benchmarks continue to be missed, what possible good can come from throwing away more American lives and Treasure? What practical, honest hope can you possibly offer?
In the same newsweek poll, Americans were asked if they wanted troop levels increased, reduced or withdrawn completely: Only 12% called for an increase, as opposed to 29% decrease and 34% remove altogether. Can you say anything of substance which would make wothwhile the deaths of More Americans? You have openly sated before that you don't care if 10,000 more Americans die (other than yourself) if it means victory, but apart from a somewhat scary willingness to kill Americans, you can't even offer a tangible means by which the deaths of the 10,000 US citoizens you are so willing to sacrifice COULD gain victory.
I think this plan will likely go through, given our circumstances over seas, but did specify here as well as where I mentioned it before that it has yet to do so, here is part of my last post you quoted that you conveniently left out to make your argument, please note the word underlined...............
Now they will meat this mark by 2012 but much of the relief from this will come sooner, 2 years to be exact if they go through with this which I think they will.To create a position in a debater that is easily refutable is by definition the description of a Straw-Man argument. And you've mastered the technique, congrats.
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Granted we have sent some extra support, its just not enough, and I've been hearing comments like that from generals and soldiers on the ground in Iraq off the news for years now. This is what I'm talking about when I talk about strong leadership, and fighting a war to win the war.
Forgive me, but these are the same platitudes you have been offering since you came on this board, despite repeated please to offer something more substantive. 'More troops' has never worked before, and is currently impossible. 'Strong leadership' is a rhetorical catchphrase that means nothing whatsoever.
Well you've been out for days, so you tell me through your PM's so what would you know about what I have presented, if you've looked, I suggest look again. I'm not the only one saying this, I got this idea from senators like Joe Liberman who have been to the middle east and talked to the Generals on the ground about this in specific. This is not some wild inconceivable tale, now while its fair to say many in congress and the senate disagree with this point, typically if you don't support a war, you don't support fighting a war by sending in troops, that makes sense. I support this war, and in turn support winning it though necessary means and I've heard countless times from many creditable sources, some of which I have already presented, that sending in more troops to obtain more security in places like baghdad is the right thing to do.
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Thats just the thing though, I hear that all the time, Nobody wants to lose this war yet at the same time half the people that say that aren't willing to support winning it. We have skeptics primarily on the left by the millions, who don't want to support it because they honestly believe we cant win it, either that or they claim we shouldn't even try, there is no reason or motive, and while I'm asked time and time again to give one good reason to fight this war and answer accordingly every time, I wonder to myself why shouldn't we try and win it ?
No, sadly that is you (deliberately or accidentally) completely misrepresenting what everyone else is saying. This has nothing to do with people's lack of desire to win, nor their lack of desire to support winning. It has to do with the partially blind desire of a diminishing few on the far right to continue supporting defeat. I have no doubt you could offer good reasons why it would be good if the war were won: I could even offer a half dozen. That is not the debate, and has not been the debate for years. The issue is can it be won? 4.5 years of loss is a lot, and to pretend people are not willing to support trying to win is disingenuous at best. What has the US been doing for 4.5 years? Trying to lose? No they have been trying to win and
failing. Now failure sticks in the craw of many, and that is natural of course, but a dislike of the term does not in any way affect its reality.
No I'm not deliberately or accidentally misunderstanding what people are saying, I wasn't being specific to anyone in particular when I made that comment but Ive been told by many liberals straight up, that we cant win this war, or we shouldn't try because they disagree with the motive behind it, and they have a right to that opinion, however I'll disagree with that if I do in fact disagree, what would you prefer I say?
Ive heard from Most liberals that they agree we should fight the war in Iraq? I'm afraid I don't know what your getting at here, not only is that not what I've heard most liberals say, I am sure if I did say it that it would be an insult to the many liberals who don't believe it.
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The question you are being asked again and again, and NOT answering (ever) is not why should the US win, but HOW can the US win at this stage? It is a question I ask you yet again, and still await a genuine response.
Actually Ive been asked both questions, and have always given a straight up answer. How do you win? For one you don't quit until you do win, and that above anything is most important. I'll continue below......
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Lastly, 'trying to win' has so far cost about 32,000 US casualties and over half a trillion dollars. Please don't pretend that 'continuing to try' is an academic excersis, it is a bloody and costly excersise. Given the ENORMOUS cost of lives and money 'continuing to try', it is not unreasonable to ask if there is any actual reasonably obtainable positive outcome, and how you plan to get there. It is called a cost-benefit analysis. The cost is enormous, is there any benefit which can realistically be obtained? And how?
The spending has been outrageous with little result in recent years to boot, I'm not as sure as I was "once upon a time" that Bush knows what he is doing anymore. However I believe this war is very important and that it can be won, and Ive explained why I believe this to you already, how many times in other forums by now? I'm not going over it again, and you can believe what you wish Vermillion, but nothing you ever at any time presented me with was ever proof this war cant be won. There is no such proof, only the 101 reasons why we are in a very difficult situation....... the CIA believes we went in under faulty intelligence, and the opinions of dozens of liberal members of congress who share your point of view and I've heard all this already, and even agree with some points.
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We made a commitment to offer a better way of life to millions by going in when we did in 2003. Saddam was evil, and that word is actually not enough to explain who that man was. He is responsible for the deaths of tens of thousands of people primarily by using WMD, and has even murdered people himself at point blank range for simply saying something he didn't like.
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Well, technically he killed about 6-8000 people with one WMD, mustard gas, mostly Kurds and some Iranians. Just to be factually corect.
That is however an aside. In reality, I don't tink any such commitment was actually made, but even if it was it compares to the 'commitment' made to the people of South Vietnam. Commitments are great, but once the cost rises and the attainment of those commitments can no longer be reasonably expected, it is madness to simply assume throwing more bodies and billions of dollars down a hole are somehow necessary.
...And what you just said is whats factually correct? Are you surrrre about that? That He killed 6 to 8 thousand people with one WMD? I know the casualties were Kurds and Iranians as Ive said, but I'm going to cross reference you on that figure you just gave. I hate to have to elaborate on a side issue, but you brought up my apparent lack of knowledge on something I was brief on earlier for that very reason so lets look at this, shall we?
by the way when I say "I was short on this before for that very reason", I'm referring to that reason being its a side issue, not my lack of knowledge. I Just reread that and figured you might try and take advantage of it, call me crazy but it wouldn't surprise me.
Here are Four links total, the First is from WIKI an impartial online encyclopedia as you know.....
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iraq_and_weap...ass_destructionFrom this WIKI link this is a list of WMD/chemical attacks made by Iraq from 83' to 91' I had to space it with periods to get it to look more legible but its available at the link as well as other info. note that the chemicals listed here are among those I mentioned before as well as the dates, the death figure I gave considers the casualties mentioned here as well death reports from other sites, some which I'll share TONIGHT to put this silliness to rest, as you actually do this often.
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Iraq WMD/chemical attacks 1983 - 1991,
location````````````method`````````````Date``````````````````Casualties
Haij Umran................Mustard......................August 1983.....................fewer than 100 Iranian/Kurdish
Panjwin.....................Mustard......................October-November 1983...3,001 Iranian/Kurdish
Majnoon Island..........Mustard......................February-March 1984........2,500 Iranians
al-Basrah..................Tabun.........................March 1984.....................50-100 Iranians
Hawizah Marsh..........Mustard & Tabun...........March 1985.....................3,000 Iranians
al-Faw......................Mustard & Tabun...........February 1986................8,000 to 10,000 Iranians
Um ar-Rasas.............Mustard........................December 1986.............1,000s Iranians
al-Basrah................. Mustard & Tabun...........April 1987.....................5,000 Iranians
Sumar/Mehran..........Mustard & nerve agent...October 1987................3,000 Iranians
Halabjah...................Mustard & nerve agent...March 1988...................7,000s Kurdish/Iranian
al-Faw......................Mustard & nerve agent...April 1988.....................1,000s Iranians
Fish Lake..................Mustard & nerve agent...May 1988......................100s or 1,000s Iranians
Majnoon Islands........Mustard & nerve agent...June 1988.....................100s or 1,000s Iranians
South-central border..Mustard & nerve agent...July 1988......................100s or 1,000s Iranians
an-Najaf -Karbala......Nerve agent & CS..........March 1991...................Shiites, casualties not known
Next link
This is an interesting article I looked up this evening just to see what else I could find, it's called "How Many People Has Saddam Hussein Killed?" while it does go into the iran-iraq war a bit, it actually covers a number of circumstances Saddam has killed beyond that particular war. This source seemed creditable enough and the author realistic, facts such as these are in numerous locations.
http://www.iraqfoundation.org/news/2003/ajan/27_saddam.htmlFrom this link lets look at some quotes, for starters, something else I had mentioned was that many murders of Saddam's were very direct, and he had personally executed people. The first quote here backs this some, although I first remember hearing this out the mouth of Saddams former military adviser years ago. The second quote from the link is war related, but it can all be read at the link.
There are rituals to make the end as terrible as possible, not only for the victims but for those who survive. After seizing power in July 1979, Mr. Hussein handed weapons to surviving members of the ruling elite, then joined them in personally executing 22 comrades who had dared to oppose his ascent.................
DOING the arithmetic is an imprecise venture. The largest number of deaths attributable to Mr. Hussein's regime resulted from the war between Iraq and Iran between 1980 and 1988, which was launched by Mr. Hussein. Iraq says its own toll was 500,000, and Iran's reckoning ranges upward of 300,000. Then there are the casualties in the wake of Iraq's 1990 occupation of Kuwait. Iraq's official toll from American bombing in that war is 100,000 was surely a gross exaggeration but nobody contests that thousands of Iraqi soldiers and civilians were killed in the American campaign to oust Mr. Hussein's forces from Kuwait. In addition, 1,000 Kuwaitis died during the fighting and occupation in their country.
Casualties from Iraq's gulag are harder to estimate. Accounts collected by Western human rights groups from Iraqi émigrés and defectors have suggested that the number of those who have "disappeared" into the hands of the secret police, never to be heard from again, could be 200,000.''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''''
Vermillion it sounds like to me that your talking about one event, I'm talking about exactly what I originally said I was talking about and thats,
"that man is responsible for the deaths of 10's of thousands" many of them very unjustifiably in fact, and I think that is a conservative estimate considering all Ive read.
Good enough?
Here is another two links on this, both are credible but I'll only mention some of the About.com link to prevent this from becoming too long.
http://civilliberty.about.com/od/internati...dam_hussein.htmhttp://www.fas.org/news/iraq/2000/09/iraq-000918.htmThis portion of the About.com link mentions the abduction of 8,000 members of Barzani's clan including men women and children, most of whom were killed. I'll end this point by saying this alone equates to the number you gave, not to mention everything else he has done, and as you so often say Vermillion, please do some research. In fact, Ironically I think that was the point you were trying to make here, by attempting to say my original figure was largely overshot or factually incorrect, hmm. If anything it was a very conservative figure.
The about link list more than the part quoted below, talking about thousands of other deaths he is responsible for,
I don't know maybe you were talking about the number of deaths he was tried for or something, personally I don't know where you got that figure but its not what I've read. The truth is much like the Iraq war death toll we will never know how many deaths he is responsible for because the figure is very high and does have some unknowns but thats the first time Ive actually heard a figure that low Vermillion..........
from About.com "link above"
The Barzani Clan Abductions of 1983: Masoud Barzani led the Kurdistan Democratic Party (KDP), an ethnic Kurdish revolutionary group fighting Baathist oppression. After Barzani cast his lot with the Iranians in the Iran-Iraq War, Hussein had some 8,000 members of Barzani's clan, including hundreds of women and children, abducted. It is assumed that most were slaughtered; thousands have been discovered in mass graves in southern Iraq.four links Vermillion, that together show he was likely responsible for much more death than the figure you used not to debate the topic, but in attempt to discredit me as you often have done on this site. Two of which were from highly regarded websites for posting non pardison facts "About.com, and Wikipedia.org" the other two were well written articles that used a number of notable sources. I think thats good enough, but its nice to know how fact oriented you truly are, so lets get back to the issue of troops, instead of your false assumption I was presenting non factual information about Saddam, but something tells me you are not finished talking more about the credibility of my comments and less about what I was implying by using such comments, I don't know call it a hunch but we've talked much before.
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We have never lost a war militarily, in Vietnam we lost our will. There is no reason we cant win this war, this is the most resourceful superpower on the planet. We can do whatever we want, and if your question then becomes why try and win, I'll answer by saying we are at war, we are not deciding whether or not to go to war.
(We will ignore the US loss in the war of 1812 to keep the debate on-topic, again, just to be factually correct.)
Wow, ok hunch confirmed, that didnt take long it was only one paragraph away, lol
This is off topic, as you said yourself, but since your being factually correct
again, where aparently I was not,
again I'll have you know Ive read the war of 1812 was very unpopular, fighting a battle overseas at the time was not near as easy considering the long distances being such a factor at the time. It was ultimately this lack of popularity that brought this war to an end before James Monroe had the chance to develop a working strategy. Its perhaps controversial but I would prefer sticking to this war, but to put it shortly from what I've read we lost our will their as well, but this is irrelevant because the U.S. was no where near as resourceful at that time as we are today, and they had every reason to be discouraged. The U.S. today is the strongest nation in the world in many ways, we can win this war if we had the willpower, or even the conviction to do so, but we are divided, and I don't think this country knows what it wants to do at this point.
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No, the US lost the war in Vietnam, and because of the military loss, constant and unchanging, the complete lack of measurable progress in the war, and complete ability of the heavily-supported South Vietnamese regime to govern their people... given all that failure the will of the people to keep pouring more men and money into a useless hole eventually vanished. Vietnam was a military loss, no ifs ands or buts, but it tok a collapse of the home front to force the few reamining far-right wingers in the US at the time that throwing away more lives uselessly on a venture nobody could determine how to win was criminal negligence of the highest order.
And you, no doubt, will say the same thing about this war if we pull ourselves out of Iraq next year, no doubt in my mind. I don't want to get into Vietnam but we had our successes their as well, particularly in the air, but I'll tell you right now that this war is much more important and relevant to America than Vietnam ever was, and I'm not just talking about Iraq, I'm talking about The War on Terror as a whole, its important for a number of reasons I've explained on this site in detail numerous times.
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You say the US can 'do whatever it wants'. Again, a pleasant sunding platitude. Perhaps you could be more specific (I ask again)? How is the US being withheld from winning right now? What do you suggest the US do right now to turn 4.5 years of loss around? Have you anything apart from rhetoric to offer?
LOL, Nothing that wont be deemed rhetoric to you, nope. The simplest answer to
what it is that withholds us from winning?, is our own d