QUOTE(Landru Guide Us @ Mar 8 2007, 06:56 PM)

$1 trillion spent in Iraq to install a radical Shi'ite regime
You have it a bit backwards. If we wanted to install a radical Shi'ite regime now, all we'd have to do is pull out of Iraq immediately. One would spring up in very short order, with the full backing of Tehran. And as an extra added bonus, we'd get a radical Sunnite regime in Anbar headed up by al-Qa'ida.
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is $1 trillion NOT spent defending our ports of entry.
It doesn't cost anywhere near that much to secure our ports, or our borders. There's just no political will to do it, Iraq or no Iraq. (though I suppose it could be argued, in a roundabout way, that the increased security threat that would result from the above scenario in Iraq could impel Congress to take action on the ports and the borders, but it might be a little like locking the gate after the horse has left the barn)
QUOTE(nebraska29 @ Mar 9 2007, 12:17 AM)

I'm not talking about Al-Qaeda factions, they desire to harm us and Iraq has no bearing on that whatsoever.
Somebody might want to explain that to the members of the bipartisan Iraq Study Group. The concluded on page 28 of their report (
PDF) that "A chaotic Iraq could provide a still stronger base of operations for terrorists who seek to act regionally or even globally." They zeroed in further on al-Qa'ida: "Ayman al-Zawahiri, deputy to Osama bin Laden, has declared Iraq a focus for al Qaeda: they will seek to expel the Americans and then spread 'the jihad wave to the secular countries neighboring Iraq.'"
QUOTE(Vermillion @ Mar 9 2007, 08:54 AM)

QUOTE(Blackstone @ Mar 8 2007, 11:24 PM)

And what effect do you think it would have on their recruitment numbers if we were to fail there? It's not like this question hasn't been examined by bipartisan think tanks, and the answer is undisputed.
You keep referring to, yet strangely not referencing, these unanimous reports. Oddly enough, the reports I have read, including the ISG report, say no such thing
Then read it a little more closely. See my above reply to nebraska29, and see also in the ISG report the sentence sandwiched in between the two sentences I quoted to him: "Al Qaeda will portray any failure by the United States in Iraq as a significant victory that will be featured prominently as they recruit for their cause in the region and around the world."
This is what you call "no such thing"?
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they also point out that the Shiia are as violent and bloody opponents of Al Qaida as the US is, and will do their best to destroy them.
They also point out (page 11) that Shi'a militias such as al-Sadr's Mahdi Army are "widely believed to engage in regular violence against Sunni Arab civilians." Take a wild guess as to what effect
that will have (and is currently having) on AQ's recruitment numbers.
Bonus question: Why do you think AQ's been trying so hard to provoke the Shi'ites?
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Your explanation involves a critical unspoken assumption. You're assuming that the Iraqi government might just have a slightly tougher time "taking responsibility" over the course of the coming year if we weren't there than if we were. That could only mean that our forces our providing critical levels of security there.
That;s just wiggling. You know full well, even if the Iraq security forces were the best on the planet, an immediate pullout would cause chaos. basic timetables need to be maintained for handover of patrols, intelligence, occupation of new headquarters, transfers of equipment, etc.
But, but... the mission is an "absolute failure", so those patrols and such aren't accomplishing anything anyway, right?
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Your question 'if pull out in a year, why not pull out now'
Wow, I never expected that
you would misrepresent something something somebody said. Oh wait, I forgot...
Anyway, my question was, "If you and they truly believe that this effort is a failure, then why bother with a timetable?"
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Well, what I find laughable is your wild imagination about what I said. It really says something about your position when the only way you can defend it is by playing these corny games.
Blah, blah, blah... having a bad day are we?
Nope, and non sequitur. But your response does further illustrate my point.
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Firstly, I already pointed out that your conclusions based on the bit of evidence you provided are fallacious. You claimed 'it certainly wasn't the Republicans who gave them this impression', to which the obvious answer is, really? Are you sure? because it is the current regime which failed to give any measure of security whatsoever to these people, in fact has given them LESS security every year, for four years. You think that abject failure might have something to do with the reluctance to put their hands in US promises of security?
What was it you were saying about "wiggling"? My question was very specific: Who was giving the Sunnites in Anbar the impression that we wouldn't be hanging around much longer? I'd like to see you try to argue that it was the administration, after so many threads in which you were insisting that the voice of the administration saying that we wouldn't leave anytime soon was the
only voice from the U.S. that Iraqis on the ground considered authoritative.
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All the Democrats have done is ask why this war has been so badly handled, why the situation continues to deteriorate, and why the US president insists on spending more and more hundreds of billions of dollars and thousands of lives when nothing is being accomplished.
In other words, they're claiming that nothing is being accomplished, so we might as well pack up and leave. And you don't think this has any effect at all on the willingness of Iraqis on the ground to make common cause with us?
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Which is exactly what I've been saying on this thread. And which no one here, despite all the hullabaloo raised by this thread, can dispute. You seem to be wanting to start a fight over other matters which belong on other threads.
Fair enough. Problem, is after reading that quote, you then STOP reading the ISG report, and go on to use that quote as evidence of your opinion (not bothering to demonstrate any link between the two), which is exactly the opposite of the findings of the ISG report you just quoted from. Would you consider that to be intellectually honest?
You're still being highly unspecific. What opinion have I stated on this thread that is the opposite of the findings contained in the ISG report, and where did I use their words to bolster it? An actual quote from me would be appreciated.
QUOTE(nighttimer @ Mar 9 2007, 04:15 AM)

QUOTE(Blackstone @ Mar 6 2007, 02:17 PM)

Ah, John McCain, such a staunch conservative - NOT. (Didn't you get the memo? He's a
maaaaverick!)
Yeah, a maverick with a
82 percent lifetime voting record as voting a staunchly conservative line. Then again, maybe a pro-Mitt Romney blog knows more about McCain than
The American Conservative Union---NOT.
Check your own link. His record in recent years is starting to slip, to 80% last year, to 65% this year. And as my link shows, he clearly avoids "fellow" conservatives like the plague. I mean, of all venues to pick to announce his candidacy for the White House, he picks The Dave Letterman Show? He definitely has the "all things to all people" bug, which is why he's such a darling of the left-wing media.
Oh and by the way, as I predicted,
McCain had to eat his "wasted" words, just like Obama.
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Anyway, you're still avoiding the point that's most relevant to this topic. Do you have anything to back up this curious notion you're entertaining - in contradiction to every serious analyst who's tackled the subject - that failure in Iraq wouldn't sharply increase the terrorist threat against us? Anything whatsoever?
What about that wild-eyed liberal, Pat Buchanan?
There isn't a single syllable in that entire excerpt that touches on the subject of what failure in Iraq would mean for our security.
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Guess that's what happens when you pick a fight you can't win but can't afford to lose.
Now those last four words are the most sensible thing you've said this entire exchange.