questions for debate:
1) is it at least possible that elements of our government had something to do with the creation and spread of aids
1a)if yes: why do you think they would do so
1b)if no: why do you think they would/could not"Possible" is a very dangerous word.
"Isn't it
possible that you were mistaken when you say that you saw Colonel Mustard in the drawing room with a lead pipe?"
"Well, I suppose it's
possible . . ."
"Your honor, I ask that the case be dismissed!"
My point is that "possible" includes "so extraordinarily unlikely that it need not be seriously considered." It's
possible that I might find a million dollars on the street and be struck by lightning on the same day, but it's not very likely.
Let's look at Dr. Cantwell's hypothesis. He proposes that:
QUOTE
. . .HIV is a genetically modified organism developed by U.S. Government scientists; that it was introduced into the population through Hepatitis B experiments performed on gay and bisexual men between 1978-1981 in Manhattan, Los Angeles, San Francisco, St. Louis, Denver, and Chicago. Cantwell claims these experiments were directed by Dr. Wolf Szmuness; and that there is an ongoing government and media cover-up regarding the origin of the AIDS epidemic.
SourceWikipedia is dismissive of this proposal.
QUOTE
The conspiracy theory holds that Szmuness was responsible in some way for infecting gay men in New York City with HIV, although the presence of HIV in his lab, the presence of a "Patient Zero," or a mechanism for this introduction have not been given. There is no evidence that the conspiracy theories are true.
Well, that's just Wikipedia. But there's something funny about the timeline for this.
QUOTE
One of the earliest documented HIV-1 infection dates from 1959, and was discovered in the preserved blood sample of a man from Leopoldville, Belgian Congo . . .
The oldest documented case of the then-unknown syndrome was detected that same year, when a 25-year-old British sailor who had traveled in the navy between 1955 and 1957 (but apparently not to Africa), sought help at the Royal Infirmary of Manchester, England. He reported to have been suffering from puzzling symptoms, among them purplish skin lesions, for nearly two years. His condition had taken a turn for worse during Christmas 1958, when he started suffering from shortness of breath, extreme fatigue, rapid weight loss, night sweats and high fever. The doctors thought he might be suffering from tuberculosis and, even though they found no evidence of bacterial infection, they treated him for tuberculosis just to be safe, to no avail. The sailor continued to weaken and he died shortly after in August 1959. His autopsy revealed evidence of two unusual infections, cytomegalovirus and Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP, later, when redetermined as P. jirovecii, renamed Pneumocystis pneumonia), very rare at the time but now commonly associated with AIDS patients.
. . .
Another early case was probably detected that same year, 1959, in a 48-year-old Haitian, who 30 years before had immigrated to the United States and at the time was working as a shipping clerk for a garment manufacturer in Manhattan. He developed similar symptoms to those just described for the British sailor, and died the same year, apparently of the same very rare kind of pneumonia.
. . .
In 1969, a 15-year-old African-American male died at the St. Louis City Hospital from aggressive Kaposi's sarcoma. AIDS was suspected as early as 1984, and in 1987, researchers at Tulane University School of Medicine confirmed this, finding HIV-1 in his preserved blood and tissues.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/AIDS_originSo, you have to suppose that these cases have all been misdiagnosed. (The tissues of the British sailor were contaminated during testing, so it is not 100% certain that he was infected with HIV.)
Overall, it simply seems to me much more likely that AIDS is just a particularly horrible disease of natural origin.
I have to admit that I am prejudiced against the hypothesis of Dr. Cantwell, for several circumstancial reasons. His books are self-published. (Maybe the mainstream scientific community is suppressing them.) Articles about Dr. Cantwell seem to pop up a lot on websites that claim that micro-organisms cannot cause disease; or, paradoxically, on websites that claim that
all forms of cancer are caused by a micro-organism. They also tend to appear on websites that reject mainstream medicine for alternative treatments. None of this is conclusive -- the old "guilt by association" fallacy -- but it makes me suspicious.
In general, a conspiracy at this level -- a plot to exterminate Africans and/or gay men -- requires an extraordinary level of extreme secrecy by many, many people. I just don't think that large numbers of people can keep anything of that magnitude a secret for any length of time. Consider the fact that the Nazi extermination camps were run by one of the most brutally authoritarian regimes in history, and that they failed to keep them a secret (or even made any real effort to do so, given the vast documentation they themselves made of their own atrocities.)
Conspiracy theories, in my opinion, are almost always wrong. Evils are more likely to come about from bad luck; the open malice of a small number of human beings; or stupidity.