Full Version: Who will win the Iraqi civil war?
The Iraqi civil war is well under way and I'm curious as to who we shall see prevail in regards to the power structure of Iraq.
Tribal leaders join forces
Sunni-Shia fighting-recent article.
Questions for debate:
1.)Who will win the Iraqi civil war and why?
2.)Who will be the biggest losers in the Iraqi civil war?
3.)Would Saddam remaining in power have prevented the civil war and for how long?
QUOTE
Even if an increase in the number of U.S. combat troops reduces violence in Baghdad and so buys time for negotiations on power sharing in the current Iraqi government, there is no good reason to expect that subsequent reductions would not revive the violent power struggle. Civil wars are rarely ended by stable power-sharing agreements. When they are, it typically takes combatants who are not highly factionalized and years of fighting to clarify the balance of power. Neither condition is satisfied by Iraq at present. Factionalism among the Sunnis and the Shiites approaches levels seen in Somalia, and multiple armed groups on both sides appear to believe that they could wrest control of the government if U.S. forces left. Such beliefs will not change quickly while large numbers of U.S. troops remain.
Tribal leaders join forces
Sunni-Shia fighting-recent article.
Questions for debate:
1.)Who will win the Iraqi civil war and why?
2.)Who will be the biggest losers in the Iraqi civil war?
3.)Would Saddam remaining in power have prevented the civil war and for how long?
QUOTE(nebraska29 @ May 26 2007, 11:16 PM) 
The Iraqi civil war is well under way and I'm curious as to who we shall see prevail in regards to the power structure of Iraq.
Tribal leaders join forces
Sunni-Shia fighting-recent article.
Questions for debate:
1.)Who will win the Iraqi civil war and why?
2.)Who will be the biggest losers in the Iraqi civil war?
3.)Would Saddam remaining in power have prevented the civil war and for how long?
QUOTE
Even if an increase in the number of U.S. combat troops reduces violence in Baghdad and so buys time for negotiations on power sharing in the current Iraqi government, there is no good reason to expect that subsequent reductions would not revive the violent power struggle. Civil wars are rarely ended by stable power-sharing agreements. When they are, it typically takes combatants who are not highly factionalized and years of fighting to clarify the balance of power. Neither condition is satisfied by Iraq at present. Factionalism among the Sunnis and the Shiites approaches levels seen in Somalia, and multiple armed groups on both sides appear to believe that they could wrest control of the government if U.S. forces left. Such beliefs will not change quickly while large numbers of U.S. troops remain.
Tribal leaders join forces
Sunni-Shia fighting-recent article.
Questions for debate:
1.)Who will win the Iraqi civil war and why?
2.)Who will be the biggest losers in the Iraqi civil war?
3.)Would Saddam remaining in power have prevented the civil war and for how long?
It could be that the warlords and the people under them are now waking up to the clear fact that AQ has used them in their war against the US.
If this continues it could be a turning point in Anbar and elsewhere – and lead to a re conciliation that just might put the country together – instead of tearing it apart.
Only time will tell.
Darn, I viewed and nulled my vote, oh well.
First of all, its not all out civil war... yet.
1.)Who will win the Iraqi civil war and why?
REALLY complicated, but maybe Shia muslims, Iran is is mostly Shia and if the U.S. pulls out of iraq, Iran will do something over there for sure. If the U.S. doesn't pull out and actually increases involvment I think the civil war can be resolved in some way.
2.)Who will be the biggest losers in the Iraqi civil war?
Everyone loses, think about gas prices!
3.)Would Saddam remaining in power have prevented the civil war and for how long?
Very good question, if Saddam Hussein were still in power right now he would be trying his hardest to get nuclear arms, I bet Mahmoud Ahmadinejad would be glad to share nuclear technology with a radical muslim dictator.
First of all, its not all out civil war... yet.
1.)Who will win the Iraqi civil war and why?
REALLY complicated, but maybe Shia muslims, Iran is is mostly Shia and if the U.S. pulls out of iraq, Iran will do something over there for sure. If the U.S. doesn't pull out and actually increases involvment I think the civil war can be resolved in some way.
2.)Who will be the biggest losers in the Iraqi civil war?
Everyone loses, think about gas prices!
3.)Would Saddam remaining in power have prevented the civil war and for how long?
Very good question, if Saddam Hussein were still in power right now he would be trying his hardest to get nuclear arms, I bet Mahmoud Ahmadinejad would be glad to share nuclear technology with a radical muslim dictator.
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