QUOTE(carlitoswhey @ Jun 15 2007, 01:33 PM)

QUOTE(Lesly @ Jun 15 2007, 06:44 AM)

There was a time when Abbas and Haniya still had enough leverage to control their fighters. Without foreign aid both sides were reduced to roaming as unpaid mercenaries, not to mention the area is now susceptible to
AQ infiltration, but Hamas showed more discipline in the end. Abbas and Haniya have lost too much face, and now Israel can finally wipe Gaza off the map.
Yes, it's only been months since Abbas and Khaled Meshaal were in togas,
looking at the magic meteor together. Now, Fatah guys are being shot in the legs and thrown off buildings. Why, if we didn't know better, we would think that these savages actually don't care about human rights and what not.
How does this disprove Abbas and Haniya have no leverage? If anything showing up in togas to touch a meteor should make you ask why won't their subordinates get along.
Between
Egypt's attempts to negotiate a ceasefire between Hamas and Fatah Israel took the opportunity to settle a few scores with Hamas. This escalation starts as far back as November 2006 with rockets fired at Israel on and off for six months until Israel decided to retaliate with air strikes and taking Hamas legislatures hostage (because it's worked so well for Palestinians). Why would you let up the pressure if you're Israel and both sides are at each others' throats? And why would Hamas not kill Fatah members when they know Abbas is cooperating with Egypt, Israel, and the U.S., getting a nice
chunk of change and
new toys in the process, while their party is undermined by being unable to provide for Palestinians and members of parliament are captured with the approval of at least the U.S.? Fatah was supposed to win the battle for Gaza and they still got served.
QUOTE(carlitoswhey @ Jun 15 2007, 01:33 PM)

You seem to suggest that a Hamas victory precludes Al Qaeda from running things in Gaza.
I think you've concluded I think Hamas's victory is a win for Palestinians. It's not a win for Gaza or the West Bank because we've never allowed Hamas a long term political or military victory in the territories. The people who stand to lose the most and will keep losing is the general Palestinian population because we won't consider negotiating with Hamas as long as Israel objects.
If anything I don't know to what extent AQ's influence could shape Palestinian "politics" and I doubt anyone can say for certain at the moment. Hamas wants to impose religious doctrine but while they'd welcome AQ's financial assistance since they're not going to see any assistance coming from us, I'm not sure they'd be too happy sharing power with an outsider.
QUOTE(carlitoswhey @ Jun 15 2007, 01:33 PM)

I'm sure that you can connect the dots, but some others seem not to notice that the battles in Iraq, Lebannon and Gaza are in fact connected and indeed fronts in one war. Al Qaeda and Hamas differ in name only, and all of these thugs are working together, ultimately backed by Iran and money in Saudi.
Well, actually, we're fighting them in Iraq so we can
fight them everywhere. If these activities are connected we are the common thread as jihadis/militants/nationalist fighters are leaving Iraq and putting their hard won experience to use.
Hamas has roots in Egypt's Muslim Brotherhood and enjoyed some help from Sharon who wanted to undermine Arafat's control over the PLO. Islamic Jihad is based in Damascus but operates in Gaza, and AQ simply waits for states to approach failed state status or political failure as is the case in Lebanon with refugees existing in legal limbo. So, yes, AQ is "spreading" but in some cases, and definitely in Iraq, it seems we're not discouraging their expanded operations.
QUOTE(carlitoswhey @ Jun 15 2007, 01:33 PM)

And yes, this is good for Israel, if for no other reason than it tips the next election to someone willing to deal with reality and not empty diplomatic promises.
I don't believe Israel wants to diplomatically handle anything. I think it wants to appropriate the territories for greater access to water and strategic elevated areas. It rejected the terms of the first Arab League Summit in 2002 and will likely reject this year's offer.
QUOTE(loreng59 @ Jun 15 2007, 02:31 PM)

The US State Department can't wait to force Israel to make concessions.
You read that article as if the U.S. really cares about what's going on in Gaza. I read that article as if the U.S. wants Abbas to consolidate power in the West Bank so Israel can steamroll Gaza and Abbas can pick up the pieces—with Israel's leave, of course.