1. Will the election be held as scheduled?I sincerely hope so - and I'm about 93% certain that it will.
2. Will Bush leave office by noon on January 20, 2009?Unless we're dealing with the 7% possibility mentioned above, yes.
I don't believe that George W Bush wants to be "king" or "dictator" or "emperor", but I definitely believe that he would like to see his divinely ordained mission succeed - and if he
could remain president for another four years or ten years or twenty years or however long it would take for his perceived Good to triumph over his perceived Evil, he
would.
President Bush has been convinced from the outset that his presidency is part of a divine plan, that he is acting in accordance with God's will and, indeed, that God wanted him, personally, to run for the highest office in America in order to lead the fight against Evil. In Bush's binary world, every human being can be placed in only one of two categories: Good or Evil. Those on his side are Good and anyone who is not an absolute disciple is Evil. The same goes for every policy that he embraces and promotes: they are part of a divine plan that will ultimately lead to a triumph of Good over Evil (and anyone who opposes or even questions them falls into the latter camp). This is why he is incapable of admitting to errors or failures (which would be tantamount to acknowledging that God was wrong) and why, no matter how much criticism he receives, no matter how unpopular he or his policies may be, no matter how much havoc his policies reap, he cannot change any position on any issue
ever.
Indeed, he no doubt sees his (necessarily Evil) critics as a vindication of just how Good and Just and Right his positions are. The more Good his crusade is, the more the forces of Evil will rise up to oppose him. Similarly, were Bush able to continue his valiant mission to make the world Good, by any means necessary, he would. We already know that he will not let the law or the Constitution or the will of the people he is meant to represent or world opinion stand in the way of his divinely ordained power, why would he balk at something so petty as a national election? Would he like to remain in power beyond January 20, 2009. Oh yeah. After all, God would like it, too. But does he have the skill to completely usurp the rule of law? Probably not. Then again, he has got away with every transgression so far - transgressions that, in other times, would have got heads of state executed. We should not be quite so blithe in our dismissal of an extended Bush administration. After all,
who would stop him? Those who have stopped him from trashing our Constitution and our laws and our treaties at will? Okay...
Those who have been bolstering the Bush administration - financing its campaigns, setting its specific policies, promoting its unitary executive despotism - probably don't share Bush's religious zeal. But that doesn't mean that they haven't been willing to exploit it to the fullest. After all, it is much easier to play on peoples' fear of pure Evil and paint Bush as some sort of latter-day prophet than it is to sell war profiteering and an American hegemon at face value.
So would Rove and Cheney and Rice like to see their boy remain in power? You betcha. Do they have the political clout to effect such a radical transition in our form of government? Absent a major attack on US soil prior to the 2008 election - or 2009 inauguration - I would have to say no. Would Bill Kristol and Irwin Stelzer and Richard Perle and Mona Charen and Norman Podhoretz and Paul Wolfowitz and Richard Mellon Scaife and Gertrude Himmelfarb and Michael Novak like to see their puppet remain in power? Oh, hell yeah. But they are not as sold on Bush's Manichean vision, apart from using it as a means of selling their agenda to a gullible public, and probably realize that he isn't quite the figurehead they were looking for. I suspect that, rather than bankrolling and promoting a coup, they're shifting their allegiance to more sellable candidates.
QUOTE(moif @ Jul 22 2007, 06:55 PM)

Whats most telling about the unpopularity of GW Bush is what it means beyond GW Bush. There has been an awful lot of hatred riding on the coat tails of this one man, far too much in my mind to be justified by his actions. I'm very curious to see if the hatred will remain once Bush is gone and how the next president will be perceived.
I don't doubt that, for many, there
is pure hatred of George W Bush. For many of us, though, it is more a matter of outrage. For many of us, it is the the contempt for the Constitution, the war crimes (and war profiteering), the destruction of the balance of powers, the illegal activity, the cover-ups and lies that are of more concern than some irrational emotion. It is also this lawlessness - and the fact that it has gone almost entirely unchallenged - that leaves a bit of room for doubt about the next election. For many of us, it is
exactly his actions that have led to strong feelings - and where there
is hatred of the man who provides the public face for those actions, then it is justified a thousand times over.
The level of "hatred" will doubtless continue following the next election. The last two administrations have been incredibly divisive and, even if the next president were an affable moderate, there are several decades worth of contention to get over and that won't happen during the course of a mere four years. Whether or not the
outrage continues is a matter of the policies espoused by the next president.
QUOTE(Eeyore @ Jul 22 2007, 09:37 PM)

What I fear is that the extensions of power pressed for for the executive branch under his tenure will allowed to be left in place. That White House is our house and we should be allowed to know a lot more about the daily actions of the public employees that serve our Constitution and our president.
I couldn't agree more - and I'm glad it was a more moderate voice than my own that raised this issue.

QUOTE(Eeyore @ Jul 22 2007, 09:37 PM)

I hope the next person has the ability to not embrace those expanded powers and turn the lights on brighter around the executive branch and defer whenever possible to the legislative branch of government.
I wouldn't hold my breath. This has been one of my main fears over the past six years or so - that the powers seized and laws broken by the Bush administration have set deadly precedents for
anyone who may succeed our current Messenger of God. The actions taken by this administration will have grave consequences for years to come, many of them may be irreversible. It will take a man or woman of enormous will to spurn the extraordinary powers they will be handed in the wake of the Bush administration. It is not enough that they refuse to use them, they must repudiate them and restore the values on which this country was founded, before an even more despotic or divinely inspired executive receives the reins of power . No easy task, even for a Gandhi - and I don't see many mahatmas in the running.
QUOTE(carlitoswhey @ Jul 23 2007, 01:30 PM)

I believe that those pulling the strings will try to win the next presidential election, and leave it at that. I do not believe that they will succeed, but it doesn't change my belief that the Republic is safe.
I agree with your first belief, but I'm not as sure about your disbelief - which leaves your further belief about the safety of the Republic a bit up in the air. Even if the Republic
is safe, it has been radically reshaped over the past several years - and it may be many more years before we know exactly how much damage has been done to our institutions and values. A lot will depend on the next few administrations and whether they choose to start repairing the damage or whether they compound it. The Republic may have the semblance of "safety" and the transfer of power will most likely take place as scheduled, but it is
not the same Republic it was in 2000. And the change has decidedly not been for the better.
QUOTE(Paladin Elspeth @ Jul 23 2007, 03:10 PM)

At this point, none of the candidates running for President, on the Democratic or 'publican side appear to be as bad as what we have occupying the Oval Office right now.
Then you need to take a closer look at Rudy Giuliani. And, should he run, Fred Thompson. That pair makes George W Bush look like Ben franklin. Okay, maybe they make him look like Alexander Hamilton. Anyway,
those fascistic creeps really
would place free elections in serious jeopardy. Hell, Giuliani's already
tried it - and attempting to scuttle our electoral process altogether is apparently one of things that contributed to his being considered "America's mayor".
Jesus.