What does this mean . . .
Regarding the Iraq situation as a whole?I'm seeing this as the start of a pulldown of US forces in Iraq. President Bush has made the allusion to Vietnam and boat people, so this time it's going to be air transport people. Token troop pullouts have been talked about recently, and then we have the expiration of deployments coming up.
Ready or not, Iraq is going to be on its own. When that happens, what looks like a flood of refugees now will seem like a trickle. Then the US will likely allow more refugees into the country.
Regarding terrorism in the United States?Assuming that our government can do a good job of screening, maybe nothing. However, I do not have that kind of faith in our government. Actually, I don't have that kind of faith in any system, having seen how much can fall through the cracks. I'm estimating a one percent fallthrough, so among 2,000 Iraqi refugees entering the country, 20 will have terrorist leanings. In effect, the terrorists won't follow us home; we'll bring them on.
Will we be up to this security-wise? Maybe so, but I can see more loss of civil liberties as a means to that end.
Regarding economic and social conditions in the United States? The economy hasn't been all that well since the 1990s, and that wasn't a sustainable thing either. A grim thing happened in August. Instead of an expected 100,000 jobs created, 4,000 were lost.
SourceThis makes me think that Iraqi refugees will have a hard time finding employment. Ghettos may develop as they have in Europe, and these may encourage bad things to happen like riots.
Or maybe these new Iraqi immigrants will create jobs by starting new businesses. Yep, but I can't imagine what businesses these might be. I'll leave the mind open on this one.
Overall, the trend has started. I don't think it will end soon but will expand.