QUOTE(Dingo)
Interesting analysis Trouble. However I assume we had a national currency and corporations borrowed heavily before the creation of the Federal Reserve Banks. It seems to me debt has always had to have some relation to present or future equity. Without knowing too much about the details I always thought of the Fed as trying to smooth out some of the boom and bust cycles of earlier times. My impression is that Friedman didn't have so much a problem with its existence as much as wanting the Fed to restrict itself to normalizing the increase in the money supply as the way of keeping things on an even keel. The whole business of turning the closed economies of others into open resources for exploitation seemed to be well established by the twentieth century. Wasn't Adam Smith's 'Wealth of Nations' the book that gave it academic respectability?
One angle I've heard brought up is the business of the courts giving corporations legal personhood back sometime in the 1880s. Apparently before that businesses were held accountable by operating under local revocable 'Charters' based on certain standards of behavior. The courts broke that implied contract and reduced local accountability. Perhaps the size of corporations would have made local accountability a dead letter anyway but I know a lot of people point to that legal decision as giving rise to a kind of dark turn in our history.
You are correct the Fed did try to even out the booms and busts. Unfortunately the normalization process is an ugly rollercoaster. I'll take a couple paragraphs and deviate onto what normalization means - at least my understanding of it.
The Fed has only one card to play and that is injecting ever greater amounts of money into either the stock market, commodities which are the telltale signs of inflation, or in cold hard cash. Cash is the most sensitive because there will be a demand followed by a rise in whatever market this new money tends to dominate. The shortage is whatever sells out. This is inflation in its most bare form. An artificial demand which pushes prices up. Excess money creation. By itself this sounds like no big deal. But if left over time this creates a gap between true demand and goods driven by artificial demand expands which plays a helping hand in making manufacturing uncompetitive.
The great debate between the austrians and the keynsians is the keynsians think the act of intervening in a market actually had some positive effect. Don't even get me started on the warfare-wellfare thing but you get the idea...Take the conflicting views of Iraq. We know now there was no wmd. We know there were no chemical weapons. The neocon view is regime change was still justified because the former regime was run by a dictator. The opposing view sites the destruction, the deaths, the refugees which are all a larger, more complex problem to solve then when Saddam was left in power. This is
the debate between the two monatary schools of thought. One side sees the answer to a bust cycle is to create money, the other side knows the money will migrate creating further bubbles in sectors and devalue the currency by creating money at a rate faster than what the country needs resulting in loss of purchasing power. While the latter may sound jingoistic to a layperson, all the great societies which had complex means of barter fell into war when their economies fell into ruin. There have been no exceptions historically.
Now take that thought and focus everything you can do to grow your economy to sop up the excess money. Certain sectors respond better than others. Infrastructure is hard to grow quickly. Manufacturing is hard to grow and may be even harder to justify if the sales aren't there. The next best thing? Focus on the service side and the financial side of the economy. The point I am making is that not all sectors grow evenly under pressure and if such a trend continues on long enough, people realize things have changed and the workforce has become distorted. I've taken this approach because we've all heard about the loss of manufacturing and jobs and I wanted to give you a more nuanced reason over and above the obvious "cheap chinese labour" response.
In order to reestablish an equilibrium, the economy must expand. At the beginning of the bust cycle money and credit is plentiful and cheap. (Higher interest rates slow money the cycle down but slows the economy down and are not popular politically - the gurus call this money velocity or how fast money changes hands.) It is under this backdrop when money and credit are easy to come by that Naomi begins her book. I am quickly interpreting it as opportunism
for short term gain.
Now where you and I come in is how well we equate opportunism with an increase in social welfare. This is something that I pondered on for years. For every example in favour I could find a socialist example against. (Remember all the most aggressive ideas of capitalism were first tested in latin america and definitely had a hand in fomenting socialist sentiment.) Your example of the charters is a good example of linking social interests to those with capitial. I'll have to search from this angle more in the future.
In the twentieth century opening up primitive countries to development was a no-brainer, that is development automatically increased the welfare and actually took enough of society out of poverty that allowed for stable governing. The tradional point was engaging in capitalistic ventures
strengthened democratic principles which lended itself to western styled governments. Even without a Charter, the rise in the standard of living was enough to offset any negatives experienced from developement. The problem with this approach is it is rather hit and miss depending on the company, the time period, the government and a million other factors.
Naomi's entire arguement is that something changed between theory and practice, that capitalism does not sprout into a healthy institution building effort for every country. (I picked up the book and am reading it now.) While finding a definitive answer to economic theory is difficult because establishing cause and effect is speculative, I will mention John Bogle's book "
The Battle For The Soul Of Capitalism: How the Financial System Underminded Social Ideals."
Bogle makes a simple observation after spending his entire life around Wall Street. The capital used to open up markets was originally run by people with a long term outlook. That is gains in the next quarter were not so important as consistent earnings over the next twenty years. To do that the capital must be focused entirely in creating a product or service that does well in the host country. IE the social implications were a barometer of how well a company was managing itself. Somewhere over that last thirty years the outlook gradually shortened. This meant companies only had to be profitable in the short term and did not focus as much on social or environmental costs. This was a gradual shift. I agree with Bogle increasing the role of credit in society was a contributing factor. He sites credit was the door for speculative greed. The result was a dramatic reversal of taking wealth out of country rather than creating wealth in the country to be used by that country. As you can see this observation plays heavily into disaster capitalism and whether or not this builds upon democratic principles or steals them away.
Sorry for the long winded response. There was no other way of moving from normalized credit cycles to Naomi's book.