QUOTE(Ted @ Jan 7 2008, 08:41 AM)

QUOTE
Dingo
Interesting Ted that you even reject the general proposition. As to your specific point what evidence points to the fact that we are either more or less safe today? As of 9/10/01 we had had a run of 8 years of not being attacked by Jihadists on our soil. And even if we were safer how could one possibly imagine that our invasion of Iraq contributed to that?
Interesting? What is interesting is that you can ask the question with a straight face! If Gore was in you would be telling us how safe we were since we went into Iraq and routed Al Qaeda.
That's such an idiotic comment I don't know what to say other than everybody doesn't operate at your level of partisanship.
QUOTE
Our invasion of Iraq has pulled many men and lots of AQ money there that surely would have been used elsewhere if we had just attacked Afghanistan. And PLEASE don’t tell me there are “more of them” because we attacked Iraq
Cover your eyes and seal your ears, I'm going to tell you just that. We were manufacturing Jihadists and destabilizing countries throughout the ME with our Iraq invasion-occupation. Not to mention that money from Iraq has been going to Al Qaeda headquarters and Iraq has been used as a training ground for jihadist actions in other areas.
QUOTE
No organization, country, army, or group has unlimited resources. Tying them up in Iraq has spared other areas – so far.
That's beyond funny, that's kink style Orwell - "shooting myself in the foot kept my enemies from shooting me in the head."
Just a little final note. Your belief that anything Hillary endorsed is a slam dunk is touching for a rock ribbed Republican.

QUOTE(drewyorktimes @ Jan 7 2008, 09:34 AM)

Do you agree with the general proposition that political cultures develop widely held ideas that fly in the face of the manifest evidence?
Or the surge. let's talk seriously about the surge; the latest 'turn-around' in Iraq is besprinkled with "widely held ideas that fly in the face of the manifest evidence." I don't want to ignite the wrong debate in the wrong thread, but even the surge's defenders have to admit that a major cause of the diminished violence was an agreement reached in Al-Anbar province, which was totally outside of the reach of the Surge. There's even an argument that those Al-Anbar groups reached said agreement as a response to the 2006 midterm elections, which allegedly signaled to many Iraqis that a withdrawal was somewhere over the horizon.
Additionally it detaches the war from the ultimate problem which is not apparently getting any closer to a solution, namely a political settlement between the contending parties..
Nor does it convey the tragic fact that they never wanted Al Qaeda around in the first place but our invasion forced their hand as a temporarily necessary expediency. Additionally it ignores the fact that the folks who are now being excluded represent maybe 5% of the combatants. Finally it turns its head from the obvious point that whatever government ends up holding power is going to have a Shiite majority and be nominally in the Iranian camp with many of the restrictions of Sharia which Hussein hadn't allowed.
QUOTE
Yet my understanding, at least, is not that the middle class is a dying breed. As I understand it, the middle class is a transforming class -- the job market is changing and some of that certainly does involve people taking lower-paid or less desirable jobs, not to mention many careers are becoming a poor man's lot: journalism, for example. Concurrently, opportunity is opening up in the less desirable, less high-pay fields of education and health services; and furthermore, that what's "dying" about the middle class is that our opportunities to climb into that higher class are more ephemeral as the gap between middle class widens. Or, as a bar-back friend of mine in New Orleans once said, "If you're not going to be seriously career-driven, and maybe even if you are, the service industry is the place to be."
But at a democratic debate that thought gets boiled down to "middle americans are watching their dreams slipping away," which is partially true, but also a clumsy way to put it. If your 'dream' is to live quietly live off a moderate income and buy cheap DVD players, the Bush administration has been a rock of security. That's at least, how I understand it. Someone can correct me if I'm wrong.
On this one I'm not sure where I see the smoking gun cultural error you are counter posing to. Your general proposition is that the middle class is down sizing and that seems to me to be part of a conventional broader discussion. I don't think your qualifications would shock anyone.
If I were to look for something more fundamental it would be that there is no economics that questions unlimited growth. What's wrong with a more or less steady state economy linked to a steady state population linked to a steady environment. That's bringing things more in line with nature.
QUOTE
Would you call a vote for war authorization back in 2002 an example of this? Remember all the major republican candidates swear by this vote and Hillary still refuses to repudiate it.
Well, there were plenty of false assumptions in that vote, and I'll list a few here:
- the we could transform the middle east by transforming one country (the reverse domino effect)
- that we would be greeted as liberators
- that oil would go down in price
- that the sunni and shia would form a cohesive federal government.
- that the biggest threat would come from Baathist insurgents.
- I might add the war would pay for itself through oil revenues.
- That a "democratic" election would unify the country and make them good clients.
- That they could be turned into a model of privatization, most notably their oil.
- Israel would be less threatened in the region.
- That we could pull it off quickly with a minimal occupying force and be withdrawing troops in 3 months.
- That we would find the WMDs that the UN Inspectors couldn't find.
And there was no particularly rational reason to believe any of these things.
QUOTE
Nothing is more karma-validating than watching Hillary struggle behind a former state senator who had the guts (and the political position) to question some of the false assumptions behind the Iraq war. She didn't question any of these premises at a time when she was one of the few politicians in America in a position to really help America think this war through She could have raised some delicate questions, sent out some press releases and everyone would have listened on name recognition alone. 20/20 would have done an interview, CNN would have brought camera crews to a press conference, Barbara Walters could have asked her "why do you think the administration is poorly prepared for the aftermath of this war?" She could have made a difference.
Not only did she vote for the war -- fine if you believe its the right thing to do -- but she quietly slipped out of the whole legislative process save the final vote. She could have been a leader and demanded to see that the occupation was planned for, and the intelligence was sound ( which she didn't even read). She could have come in front of the American people and explained her concerns.
The funny thing is Hillary has been the standard that the war apologists, like Ted, most readily invoke. For my money I think in large part she voted out of political expediency. Her state was the target of 911 and she couldn't look weak.