QUOTE(scubatim @ Jan 7 2008, 12:09 PM)

First, don't kid yourself about lack of impact of the Iowa caucus. Iowa has nearly twice as many delegates as New Hampshire, so Iowa does hold weight, no matter how uneducated people are about the state or what your opinion is.
I don't know scuba, I agree with the premise of this post. Saturday's debates were definitely the start of the "real" campaign... most Americans weren't paying attention to the race before or during Iowa. They starting paying attention the moment the results rolled in. That's why Iowa was so important. It was crucial for these campaigns that, as soon as people start paying attention, their candidate be the front-runner. Only Iowans, Journalists and well-informed citizens paid attention to the race for Iowa -- which excludes millions of voters.
I don't say this to diminish Iowa's importance -- I think one of the great things about having Iowa first is that it allows lesser-known candidates (like Huckabee) to compete under the radar for months or years, then finally pop up a front-runner one glorious morning. But the fact is, the vast majority of Americans were only dimly aware that Iowa was even having a caucus until now.
QUOTE
Next, I don't see any real change that will take place from either party. Do you honestly think that after a democrat gets elected that all the nations ills will suddently be reversed? Do you view these candidates as candidates for POTUS, or as candidates for royalty. With the narrow lead in congress, it will take a lot more than a democratic president to change everything in this country that they claim to want to change.
I hate this kind of thinking. You know how many times I hear someone say something to the effect of, what difference does it make, or our problems will still be here, or it's not going to make a difference in the 'hood, or something like that... ugh.
No, "all of the nation's ills" will not be "suddenly reversed." Even if everyone you liked, scuba, got elected and did exactly what you wanted them to do, there would still be a wide gap between the world as it is, and the world as it ought to be.
But that's hardly a reason to opt out of the process. Frankly, if 536 Floridians hadn't thought like you do, 3,900 Americans wouldn't have died in Iraq. If a few thousand voters in Illinois hadn't thought like that, there might never have been a John F. Kennedy, or a been a Bay of Pigs, a March on Washington or a Vietnam War. The 1960s would have been a different place. There would be no movie called "Forrest Gump."
That last hypothetical alone is worth my vote.
Presidents change things despite themselves -- even the pragmatic, reflexive and conservative ones. How many of you in 2000 thought that Bush, a seemingly mild-mannered "compassionate conservative" would preside over 8 years of bold and uninterrupted, cataclysmic global religious terror conflict with detainees wired and strapped to car batteries, living off a diet of mulched constitution?
Of course, no candidate will be able to "change everything in this country that they claim to want to change." No president, with the possible exception of Abraham Lincoln or Teddy Roosevelt has been so monumental. But *even* assuming a bitterly divided congress enact zero legislation, events will rattle America over the next four years, and the president who presides over those events will sway the outcome.