1.) Would 9/11 have occurred if Al Gore had been president?Yes
2.) How would the past six-seven years of history have been changed by Gore's leadership?
3.) Would there be a global War on Terror, and if so: How might it have been conducted differently under Gore?
Per the request to check the partisanship at the door, I'll give Al Gore the chance to respond to these questions himself. He did that back on 23 Sept2002 (my 50th birthday) in a speech before
The CommonWealth Club. He lays out his plan to combat terrorism and although there are significant differences from the course Bush has followed, there are some striking similarities. Let's examine some of them.......
QUOTE(Al Gore)
To begin with - to put first things first - I believe we should focus our efforts first and foremost against those who attacked us on September 11th and who have thus far gotten away with it. The vast majority of those who sponsored, planned and implemented the cold-blooded murder of more than 3,000 Americans are still at large, still neither located nor apprehended, much less punished and neutralized. I do not believe that we should allow ourselves to be distracted from this urgent task simply because it is proving to be more difficult and lengthy than was predicted. Great nations persevere and then prevail. They do not jump from one unfinished task to another. We should remain focused on the war against terrorism.
Ok, so Gore would have declared a "War against Terror" in some fashion, and he indicates he would have initiated military actions in Afghanistan. That's similar to what Bush did.....
With respect to Iraq however, he goes on to say the following......
QUOTE(Al Gore)
I believe that we are perfectly capable of staying the course in our war against Osama Bin Laden and his terrorist network, while simultaneously taking those steps necessary to build an international coalition to join us in taking on Saddam Hussein in a timely fashion. If you're going after Jesse James, you ought to organize the posse first. Especially if you're in the middle of a gunfight with somebody who's out after you.
Ok, he sees Saddam as a threat and recognizes that we need to take him out at some point, but not with the urgency that the Bush Administration did. Fair enough.
QUOTE(Al Gore)
Nevertheless, all Americans should acknowledge that Iraq does indeed pose a serious threat to the stability of the Persian Gulf region, and we should be about the business of organizing an international coalition to eliminate his access to weapons of mass destruction. Iraq's search for weapons of mass destruction has proven impossible to completely deter, and we should assume that it will continue for as long as Saddam is in power.
Not far from the position of Bush at that time. And then we come to this passage......
QUOTE(Al Gore)
Two decades ago, the Soviet Union claimed the right to launch a preemptive war in Afghanistan, we properly encouraged and then supported the resistance movement, which a decade later succeeded in defeating the Soviet army's efforts. Unfortunately, however, when the Russians left, we abandoned the Afghans, and the lack of any coherent nation-building program led directly to the conditions which allowed the Taliban to take control and to bring in Al Qaeda and give them a home and a base for their worldwide terrorist operations. That's where they planned the attack on us a year ago September 11. Incredibly, in spite of that vivid lesson, after defeating the Taliban rather easily, and despite pledges from President Bush that we would never again abandon Afghanistan, we have done precisely that. And now the Taliban and Al Qaeda are quickly moving back in. A mere two years later after we abandoned Afghanistan the first time, Saddam Hussein launched his invasion of Kuwait. And our decision following a brilliant military campaign to abandon the effort prematurely to destroy Saddam's military allowed him to remain in power. This needs to be debated and discussed by the Congress. What this tells me is the Congress should require, as part of any resolution that it considers, some explicit guarantees on whether we're proposing to simply abandon the Iraqi people in the aftermath of a military victory there or whether or not we're going to demand as a nation that this doctrine of "wash your hands and walk away" be changed so that we can engage in some nation building again, and build the kind of peace for the future that our people have a right expect.
This sounds an awful lot like the McCain position on Iraq. It's an interesting speech.
My speculation after having read what Al Gore had to say back in 2002 is that there would be a GWOT by a Gore Administration, more aggressive in Afghanistan, less so in Iraq, and quite possibly less aggressive overall - but only by a small margin. I don't think Gore would have followed the Clinton doctrine and been satisfied with using a million dollar missile to blow up a 10 dollar tent.
Aquilla