I do agree that the analogy between Vietnam and Iraq is not that good- also, a crucial difference- GW had an "exit strategy" for staying out of Vietnam.
Really- the good comparison is the Soviet Union and Afghanistan, and US and Iraq- very many simularities- especially since the Soviet Union took the country in a couple days, then got in between the civil war, and eventually, after about 10 years, left, with the country still being in a civil war, over 1 million Afghanistanis dead, and the Soviet Union having nothing to show for thier troubles.
The US has no Soviet Union to funnel massive amounts of firepower to the region covertly, as we did in Afghanistan- on that area, at least we are lucky.
BTW- there are some very interesting simularities as well- for instance- most of the "aligned" world condemned the Soviet Union, with the non-aligned countries pretty evenly split, depending on who they were getting thier "aid" from
But the casualty figures are pretty well resembling ours- easy initial, low casualty entry into the country, with mounting casualties and cost as time marches on.
At worst, we have only had Iran to thank for the arming of the insurgents- if we had an influx of weapons like the Soviets did to us, we would have much larger casualties. Heaven help our troops if that ever changes.
In fact, our intervention may have "emboldened" the terrorists- the very thing Ted and those types say so often
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_war_in_AfghanistanThe Islamists who fought also believed that they were responsible for the fall of the Soviet Union. Osama bin Laden, for example, was asserting the credit for "the collapse of the Soviet Union ... goes to God and the mujahidin in Afghanistan ... the US had no mentionable role," but "collapse made the US more haughty and arrogant."Also- here is the Soviet Unon losses as the war drug on, in a total:
Between December 25, 1979 and February 15, 1989 a total of 620,000 soldiers served with the forces in Afghanistan (though there were only 80,000-104,000 force at one time ), 525,000 in the Army, 90,000 with border troops and other KGB sub-units, 5,000 in independent formations of MVD Internal Troops and police. A further 21,000 personnel were with the Soviet troop contingent over the same period doing various white collar or manual jobs.
The total irrecoverable personnel losses of the Soviet Armed Forces, frontier and internal security troops came to 14,453. Soviet Army formations, units and HQ elements lost 13,833, KGB sub units lost 572, MVD formations lost 28 and other ministries and departments lost 20 men. During this period 417 servicemen were missing in action or taken prisoner; 119 of these were later freed, of whom 97 returned to the USSR and 22 went to other countries.
There were 469,685 sick and wounded, of whom 53,753 or 11.44 percent, were wounded, injured or sustained concussion and 415,932 (88.56 percent) fell sick. A high proportion of casualties were those who fell ill. This was because of local climatic and sanitary conditions, which were such that acute infections spread rapidly among the troops. There were 115,308 cases of infectious hepatitis, 31,080 of typhoid fever and 140,665 of other diseases. Of the 11,654 who were discharged from the army after being wounded, maimed or contracting serious diseases, 92 percent, or 10,751 men were left disabled.[49]
Remains of Soviet trucks in Kandahar, Afghanistan, 2002.Material losses were as follows:
118 aircraft
333 helicopters
147 tanks
1,314 IFV/APCs
433 artillery guns and mortars
1,138 radio sets and command vehicles
510 engineering vehicles
11,369 trucks and petrol tankers
Okay- that was for 11 years of war, very similar to what we are fighting in IraqI believe we are on pace to totally obliterate the Afghani cost to the war with the Soviet Union, it looks like we are doing far more damage to Iraq than the Soviet Union has done to Afghanistan:
Over 1 million Afghans were killed.[50] 5 million Afghans fled to Pakistan and Iran, 1/3 of the prewar population of the country. Another 2 million Afghans were displaced within the country.
In the 1980s, one out of two refugees in the world was an Afghan.[51]
Along with fatalities were 1.2 million Afghans disabled - both Mujahideen and noncombatants -and 3 million maimed or wounded - primarily noncombatants. [52]We have been in Iraq a little less than half the time the Soviets were in Afghanistan- and we don't even have the excuse of a super power arming our enemies.
So, it was a bad idea to get inbetween a very uneasily held together society, always ready to go to war with one another- if not for some centralized brutal strongman.
In fact, here is a nice quote from Wiki link presented above:
In 1992, the United States Secretary of Defense during the war,
Dick Cheney, made the same point:
"I would guess if we had gone in there, I would still have forces in Baghdad today. We'd be running the country. We would not have been able to get everybody out and bring everybody home.
And the final point that I think needs to be made is this question of casualties. I don't think you could have done all of that without significant additional U.S. casualties, and while everybody was tremendously impressed with the low cost of the (1991) conflict, for the 146 Americans who were killed in action and for their families, it wasn't a cheap war.
And the question in my mind is, how many additional American casualties is Saddam (Hussein) worth? And the answer is, not that damned many.
So, I think we got it right, both when we decided to expel him from Kuwait, but also when the President made the decision that we'd achieved our objectives and we were not going to go get bogged down in the problems of trying to take over and govern Iraq."[22]So I give GW extra low marks for not listening to his daddy.

For instance- here is some sound wisdom by his dispensed by his Papa:
"I can tell you this: If I'm ever in a position to call the shots, I'm not going to rush to send somebody else's kids into a war."
( in fact, he took great pains to keep his kid out of war, as it turns out

)
"I'm conservative, but I'm not a nut about it."
"I'm going to be so much better a president for having been at the CIA that you're not going to believe it."
"I think I'd be a better president because I was in combat."