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Having worked for a defense contractor for 16 years with McDonnell-Douglas and later Lockheed in advanced development projects, I can take a shot at explaining how it works. Let's start with an example. Let's say you go out tomorrow with the goal of purchasing the best home computer available on the market. Fastest CPUs, most memory, fastest and highest capacity hard drives, best video card, most awesome video monitor, and all the other bells and whistles. So, you pay big bucks for this computer, bring it home and for awhile you are a happy camper, secure in the knowledge that your computer is the best one on the block. How long is that going to last? How long before you see an ad in the paper that your computer has been discounted 30% and an even better computer is out there for less than you paid for yours? One month? It's the nature of the beast. That's because computer companies are constantly developing more powerful stuff in order to stay competitive in their market.
Well, the defense systems business is not much different, except the market is smaller and the time cycle is longer. The most advanced air superiority aircraft in the world today is the F-22, BY FAR and I am will to take anyone on in debate who disputes that.... They will lose that debate because I know that airplane. I started working on that airplane nearly 25 YEARS ago. I first flew that airplane in a flight simulator in 1982. It was pretty awesome then, but at the time, it wasn't real. Why? Because the technology for that airplane, the stuff that we simulated didn't exist. That's the nature of developing advanced weapons systems. You don't develop them for what exists today. You develop them for what you think will exist tomorrow. At that time the F22 had two engine options because there was a parallel engine development program called JAFE in competition between GE and P-W. That airplane had the equivalent of 4-9 CRAY supercompters on board and we even had a program called "Pilot's Associate" which we nicknamed "R2D2" that would assist the pilot in a tactical environment for target selection and threat assessment. And, it had to be stealthy. Really, really stealthy. Most of that technology didn't exist at the time, but we had to design for it and have a Plan B, C, D in case it didn't come to pass. Add to that the Air Force's desire to use "off the shelf technology" (which is totally ridiculous) and that causes some major problems. So, yeah, it's expensive, but you get what you pay for. Do we as a nation, the richest and most powerful nation in the history of the world want to send our young men and women into combat with inferior weapons because we want to save a buck here or there? Or, do we as a nation want to make sure that we've done our very best to give them the best equipment possible?
Well. I can answer that as one of those supposed "fat cat" defense contractors (I made a good living but I'm not rich - made more working for Disney), the answer is no. We took weapons systems development very seriously. The people flying our airplanes were our personal friends. When "my baby", the F-117 which I worked on from the get go went into battle in Desert Storm, I prayed we had done it right. We spent a lot of money making sure we had, and as it turns out we did. Now maybe we could have cut corners in some places, saved the taxpayers a few bucks and maybe lost a couple of pilots. That worth it to you? Well, as a "fat cat" former defense contractor, it wasn't to me.
OK, Aquilla, what you explain is exactly what I feared. The difference between home computers and military defense is such.
Both work off planned obsolescence.
But if I sell my g-4 to my fickle next door neighbor, Pakistan, and go out and buy a g-5, so what? Worse case scenario, he replaces his dell with a computer that can handle adobe photoshop. No life or death matter.
But selling weapons to other countries, and then racing to stay a full lap ahead of those countries is an entirely different matter.
First off, how much R&D does selling off obsolete weapons systems to other nations really pay for? That's my first question. Because selling those systems (like the f-16) forces us to stay a full lap ahead of the greyhounds, like the little rabbit on the racetrack. It squares us into developing the G-6 before we're even done selling off our G-4. BEcause you said...
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Do we as a nation, the richest and most powerful nation in the history of the world want to send our young men and women into combat with inferior weapons because we want to save a buck here or there? Or, do we as a nation want to make sure that we've done our very best to give them the best equipment possible?
... to which I would point out, we are quite frequently arming the hypothetical other side.
Secondly, and I am going to make heads explode in frustration here, but the US was not adequately prepared for WWII. I'm glad were prepared for the possibility of WWIII. But I want to suggest that idea that we are overprepared, or at least mis-prepared. It would take years, years and years for China, Russia, or any other traditional national threat to emerge and seriously consider countering us. To say nothing of the consequences of two industrialized nations fighting in an age of nuclear weapons. What's more? It would take a fundamentally different economic and geo-political map for such a war to even make rational sense.
So I don't see or at least I don't understand the merit in our level of preparedness for WWIII. I'm just gonna say it. If the F-22's have uses in hunting down AQ, great, authorize their contract. (If, that is, the money couldn't be better spent on boosting troop levels, and on-the ground vehicles, etc.) But I don't see exactly who and what we're preparing for when we talk about:
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Replace those test adversaries with Russian or Chinese planes, and you can see the need for the plane. Air power is absolutely essential for modern combat, and don't be naive enough to think that the days of superpowers colliding are over. Conflict with China is not only inevitable, it is already occurring, and will only get worse. We need the technological advantage to keep that conflict from ever escalating into all-out war.
I'm not *naive*. Naive has nothing to do with it. I don't think the days of
anything are over, even disco makes a comeback once in a while.
But at the moment, I do not know what you are talking about when you say "conflict is not only inevitable, it is already occurring." If, by conflict you mean, a spy plane incident 8 years ago, and the fact that China is exporting a bunch of
machetes to African states on the verge of genocide then, uh, ok. That hardly strikes me as an omen for an air fight over Beijing.
30, 40 years from now, sure. Maybe, who the heck knows. But if Russian history taught me one thing, it's that a country can gain a whole lot of ground in the arms race in the span of 10, 15 years.