How serious is this security leak involving a major presidential candidate's private records?Security leaks should be taken seriously regardless of
who is involved. This one doesn't seem like that major a breach and I'm sure it will be fully investigated. A spokesman for Obama called it "outrageous" and Sen. Clinton personally called it "outrageous", so I guess, however minor, it's also outrageous.
Is the Obama campaign justified in asking for an investigation?Sure.
If so, who should conduct the investigation?The State Department's Inspector General is apparently the official investigator, though it could be passed to the Justice Department. If there's any evidence that the information was "disseminated", it could be turned over to the FBI to see if federal charges are warranted.
Although this information has apparently been known to State Department officials for some time, Obama was just notified today. Why the delay?Evidently, the first two instance were dealt with "locally" by lower management at "office level" (I'm not sure whether they were contract or not), who failed to pass the information up the line. Senior State Department officials only learned about the breaches on Thursday themselves - and passed the information pretty immediately to Condoleezza Rice and Obama's Senate office.
How far up the ladder do you predict this incident will go?Well, I doubt it was authorized by President Bush - he has more important things to screw up - so I doubt it will extend beyond the State Department. So far as culpability goes, it looks like the low-level managers are the ones at fault. I don't see any disciplinary action extending beyond them. And I don't see any possible
charges being brought against anyone but the three people who snooped.
QUOTE(NiteGuy @ Mar 20 2008, 09:39 PM)

Now, I'm specifically not saying that there is anymore to this than coincidence, or that Clinton supporters, or McCain supporters are in any way involved with this. I just found the timing interesting.
You might also find
this hat interesting.

I realize you're "specifically not saying that there is anymore to this than coincidence", but it's hardly worth bringing up. First, pick any three random days this year and you'll be able to place them within a week or so of
some primary, caucus, major poll, major address, or breaking story. Now, if they were clustered or if they immediately followed or preceded a significant win or loss in each case, it might be a
tad suspicious.
Second, we're talking about his
passport records - and, so far, we don't even know if they had access to more than the passport
application. Even if they had full access, I doubt there's a draft-dodging charge or a student trip to Soviet Russia to exploit, as was the case when Bill Clinton's passport records were purloined in 1992. The culprit in that case, an actual State Department official, was merely demoted for "lapses of judgment". After a three-year probe, the federal independent counsel investigating the case exonerated the officials involved. If there were any travel-related misdeeds in Obama's past - a series of visits to pre-invasion Baghdad, say, or extended vacations in Pyongyang - I'm sure we would have heard
something about it before this. Otherwise, passport records contain very little information - no financial records, no medical records (apart from, maybe, requisite inoculations), no phone bills or credit card receipts, no
personal information that wouldn't be easily obtainable elsewhere.
As to these being active electronic files, I seriously doubt that low-level contract employees would be able to permanently alter a master file that wouldn't be duplicated elsewhere without a trace. Even if they could, what're they gonna do - indicate that he was in Peking for several weeks for which the senator could easily produce an "alibi"? try to suggest Obama was a yellow fever vaccine junkie? make his passport photo look "darker, more sinister, and with a wider nose"?
There
may be more to this story than meets the eye - and the investigation has only just commenced - but what meets the eye so far seems pretty innocuous. Apparently, according to the latest news,
all three remaining candidates had their passport files breached. Oh, my God - go to DEFCON 2! McCain's files were accessed on March 14 - only ten days after Huckabee dropped out! - the same day and by the same person who looked at Obama's files. I guess
that one was Geraldine Ferraro masquerading as a low-level contract employee, looking for suspicious birthmark information on behalf of Hillary Clinton.
This will be developing for a while, I suspect. Meanwhile, I'd listen to
anyone other than Andrea Mitchell - she was leaping to conspiracy theories within seconds of the story breaking and is desperate for attention, as usual (indeed, she was the source of
NiteGuy's timeline trope). She's already sounding disappointed that Sen. Clinton's files were also breached.
I suppose if these low-level contract workers turn out to be Obama fans imprudently curious about their hero, the story will suddenly become
OBAMA SUPPORTERS FIRED FROM STATE DEPARTMENT!!!
EDITED FOR TYPO STUFF