1. What are your thoughts on George W. Bush ranging on a continuum from “love” on one end to “hate” on the other? If I had the vote in the USA, I wouldn't have voted for him. That's all I can say. Whether I love him or hate him does not necessarily translate into whether I would vote for him. I "love" Halle Berry but I'm not sure how good she'd be as a president, and I "hate" Kate Moss (is anyone a bigger waste of skin?) but for all I know she might be quite nice or quite an effective leader.
When it comes to politicians, I think that love and hate are what support and disapproval turn into with the benefit of experience. Outside Illinois and New York, nobody sane should love or hate Obama or Hillary Clinton, because nobody outside those states has any experience of how they govern. The same goes for McCain. And the same should have gone for GW Bush back in the campaign of 1999.
2. Are using phrases like "Bush haters" ploys or talking points to cover up legitimate criticisms of Bush?Yes. "Bush lovers" just as much. They're simply
ad hominem comments that add no light but lots of heat to debate.
However, the important question is not whether he is loved or hated, but
why. His core support is about 30%, and they seem willing to give that support no matter what he says or does. I can't tell from these figures, but I'd imagine there was a similarly-sized group of hard core of "haters" at the other end, who would hate him no matter what he did.
Everyone else will make their judgments based on how good a job they think he's doing - i.e., unlike the two 20% extremes, they'll based thier opinions on what he does not on who he is. What he hs done has been very unpopular - maybe only 15% of people on top of the hardcore support him
because they think he's done a good job, rather than support him no matter what but try to justify it by saying they think he's done a good job. In other words, they are straight ahead party or Bush loyalists.
In common with any other sort of loyalist, the motivation is often or even usually driven as much by hatred of the other guy as it is by any special affection for your own.
This would be similar to the figures Bill Clinton had toward the end of his term - a hard core of supporters, and a hard core of opposition, with the people in the middle
changing their minds over time based on experience and based on the decisions Bush has made and their outcomes. He was never as unpopular as Bush has become, but to a great extent that has to be put down to the extraordinary circumstances that have faced Bush - Clinton never had a 9-11 or an Iraq war (or an Enron or a sub-prime crisis, for that matter). He had his challenges and oppotunities, but they were different and - say what you like - I don't think they were on quite the scale that Bush has faced (or created).
So, to be fair to Bush, circumstances have been even more polarising for him than they were for Clinton. And, still being fair, he has handled some of them very badly (though the comparisons have to stop there; nobody knows how anyone else would have behaved differently).
3. If you are not on the extremes of the continuum, how would you term your thoughts about Bush?I wouldn't vote for him because I can't think of a single policy where he and I agree.
4. What impact will Bush’s continued unpopularity have on the 2008 election?He's not standing, so it will be muted. McCain (rightly or wrongly) will get some of the mud slung at him. Some of it is just partisan carping from the 20% that are undying haters. Some of it will deserve to stick because he supported many of the most unpopular decisions taken by Bush, that the middle 60% tend massively to dissapprove of.
The same will go for Clinton, based on her husbands term of office and her own time in Congress. Unlike Laura Bush, and most other first ladies, she was much more hands on, so again, some of the mud from Bill's years in office will deserve to stick, and some wo'n't. But I think she is as polarising in her own right as Bush has been.
Obama is something of an unknown quantity, which seems to be both his greatest strength and biggest weakness.
Ultimately, until the Democrats have settled on a single candidate, we won't really know how the Presidential campaign will work. It's fun to speculate, though.
QUOTE(vsrenard @ Apr 10 2008, 10:58 PM)

2. Are using phrases like "Bush haters" ploys or talking points to cover up legitimate criticisms of Bush?
It depends. Some people are Bush-haters, or Clinton-haters, for example. Some are Bush-lovers, who think he can do no wrong. More than labels, I think the positions these people blindly take condemns them as inconsequential.
It's interesting that you mention Clinton-haters. It feeds into what I was saying before about there being hardcore, do-or-die supporters at either end of the spectrum. I'd bet that on a Venn diagram, the hard core Clinton haters would almost exactly (say, 90%) coincide with the Bush lovers, and vice versa.
Unfortunately, rather than being inconsequential, these people seem to be the core support and indeed key figures seem to be in the campaign teams. So, while it would be better for democracy if they could be brushed away so easily, their poisonous influence (at both ends) will carry on for a long time yet.