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Aquilla
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 03:59 PM) *
Well, the party has representatives, right? Party leaders? When I refer to "the party", I refer to the representatives. Being a member of a political party yourself, I'm sure that you understand how your party operates.



Representatives? Isn't that kind of what a convention delegate is? So I guess the way they would tell Hillary to drop out of the race would be to not vote for her at the convention right? So, maybe she should wait until then to make a decision.


Aquilla
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entspeak
QUOTE(Aquilla @ Apr 21 2008, 06:45 PM) *
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 03:59 PM) *
Well, the party has representatives, right? Party leaders? When I refer to "the party", I refer to the representatives. Being a member of a political party yourself, I'm sure that you understand how your party operates.



Representatives? Isn't that kind of what a convention delegate is? So I guess the way they would tell Hillary to drop out of the race would be to not vote for her at the convention right? So, maybe she should wait until then to make a decision.


Aquilla


Yes, that certainly is one way, Aquilla - thanks for pointing out the obvious, I don't know why I didn't think of that... waiting to the convention? It's brilliant?! Oh, but wait... we were discussing whether or not that would have a negative impact should the party ask her to step out earlier than that... so, chances are we might have already been discussing that option. But thanks for reiterating it, because we certainly love your constructive input, Aquilla. thumbsup.gif wacko.gif
Aquilla
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 05:24 PM) *
Yes, that certainly is one way, Aquilla - thanks for pointing out the obvious, I don't know why I didn't think of that... waiting to the convention? It's brilliant?! Oh, but wait... we were discussing whether or not that would have a negative impact should the party ask her to step out earlier than that... so, chances are we might have already been discussing that option. But thanks for reiterating it, because we certainly love your constructive input, Aquilla. thumbsup.gif wacko.gif



Happy to try to clarify things here, but now we're back to "the party" thing. How can "the party" ask her to step out without voting at the convention? Right now she has almost as many delegates who will vote for her as Obama has who will vote for him. It is apparent that there are quite a few members of "the party" that want her to be the nominee. Quite a few that don't either. So, what is this entity - "the party" that's going to make the determination? And, how will this entity do that?

Aquilla
entspeak
QUOTE(Aquilla @ Apr 21 2008, 08:00 PM) *
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 05:24 PM) *
Yes, that certainly is one way, Aquilla - thanks for pointing out the obvious, I don't know why I didn't think of that... waiting to the convention? It's brilliant?! Oh, but wait... we were discussing whether or not that would have a negative impact should the party ask her to step out earlier than that... so, chances are we might have already been discussing that option. But thanks for reiterating it, because we certainly love your constructive input, Aquilla. thumbsup.gif wacko.gif



Happy to try to clarify things here, but now we're back to "the party" thing. How can "the party" ask her to step out without voting at the convention? Right now she has almost as many delegates who will vote for her as Obama has who will vote for him. It is apparent that there are quite a few members of "the party" that want her to be the nominee. Quite a few that don't either. So, what is this entity - "the party" that's going to make the determination? And, how will this entity do that?

Aquilla


Well, party... leaders... elected to be party leaders... represent party... go to candidate... ask to step out of the race. Now, stop. Done.
Wertz
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 06:15 PM) *
Injecting race into this? wink.gif

Just following the lead of the Obama camp (by which I mean supporters and media advocates in no way associated with the official campaign and whose comments should not to be construed as reflecting the views of Sen. Obama himself, Obama For America™, or any representatives thereof) and a few of the official campaign heads. thumbsup.gif More to the point, I was injecting gender into this. This is one of the arenas in which sexism (compounded by racial hyper-sensitivity) does figure in this campaign. That being said, the candidate himself seemed to be suggesting in his famous Philadelphia speech on race (look for it in the next edition of Essential Documents in American History) that this campaign is a sort of litmus test on racism. He didn't quite paraphrase George W. Bush - "You're either with us or you're with the racists" - but he certainly indicated that the only solution to our racial divide was the election of Barack Obama.

I must admit, though, that I wouldn't want to be the one to suggest that Obama should "step out" either - what kind of execrable racist would that make one? - so I can understand Dean trying to get "superdelegates" to force Clinton out instead. On the other hand, I don't think anyone should be asked to "step out" until there's a winning ballot at the convention in August.

QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 06:15 PM) *
Of course, I think she should drop out - after the primaries are done at the latest (In my opinion, she can't win, so what's the point of staying in?), but that wasn't what I was talking about. I was talking about possible effects of staying in the race should the party ask her to step out.

I still don't see what your argument is. If she doesn't stand down when asked, she risks losing unpledged PLEO delegates. Okay. But if she does stand down when asked, then the delegates become irrelevant altogether. Sounds like a lose-lose situation by your reckoning. The only chance she would have of gaining the nomination would be to remain in the race - and take that "risk". If she just throws in the towel, it's over.
entspeak
QUOTE(Wertz @ Apr 21 2008, 10:01 PM) *
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 06:15 PM) *
Injecting race into this? wink.gif

Just following the lead of the Obama camp (by which I mean supporters and media advocates in no way associated with the official campaign and whose comments should not to be construed as reflecting the views of Sen. Obama himself, Obama For Americaâ„¢, or any representatives thereof) and a few of the official campaign heads. thumbsup.gif More to the point, I was injecting gender into this. This is one of the arenas in which sexism (compounded by racial hyper-sensitivity) does figure in this campaign. That being said, the candidate himself seemed to be suggesting in his famous Philadelphia speech on race (look for it in the next edition of Essential Documents in American History) that this campaign is a sort of litmus test on racism. He didn't quite paraphrase George W. Bush - "You're either with us or you're with the racists" - but he certainly indicated that the only solution to our racial divide was the election of Barack Obama.

I must admit, though, that I wouldn't want to be the one to suggest that Obama should "step out" either - what kind of execrable racist would that make one? - so I can understand Dean trying to get "superdelegates" to force Clinton out instead. On the other hand, I don't think anyone should be asked to "step out" until there's a winning ballot at the convention in August.


Yeah, not injecting race into this at all... dry.gif

QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 06:15 PM) *
I still don't see what your argument is. If she doesn't stand down when asked, she risks losing unpledged PLEO delegates. Okay. But if she does stand down when asked, then the delegates become irrelevant altogether. Sounds like a lose-lose situation by your reckoning. The only chance she would have of gaining the nomination would be to remain in the race - and take that "risk". If she just throws in the towel, it's over.


And you don't see what my argument is? You've just very clearly stated it. It's a risk, it's a possibility. It's a risky game to play. That's all I stated. Simple as that. Why does it have to be more complicated than that? She will either take that risk or she will throw in the towel. I was just pointing out the risk.
droop224
Entspeak
QUOTE
The aim is to end the battle between the candidates, meaning that one of them drops out if the superdelegates rally around the other candidate. If it is determined that, with the superdelegates weighing in, there is a presumptive winner, there will be a push for the other candidate to step out of the race. There is nothing in the rules that states that the DNC leadership can't suggest a losing candidate step out. So, it isn't an "official" change of the rules, but... in this, Wertz is right to suggest that it would end the process early, which, in essence, changes the date the nominee is decided - but this is not a change in the rules. If a candidate steps out of the race, a candidate steps out of the race. This has already happened in the Republican race, though certainly not as publicly as it will no doubt be on the Democratic side. I'm willing to bet that someone went to Huckabee and said (or Huckabee realized this for himself)... "look, you aren't going to win, so just step out and let McCain focus on a national campaign."


I know what Wertz is saying, but it doesn't stop the fact that in him saying what he is saying he insinuates if not all out state that Dean is asking for an early stoppage. He is not. It will stop when someone hits that magic number, 2000 and something.

QUOTE
And that's fine, so long as neither the delegates or any of the candidates are coerced. Okay, blackmail isn't against the rules, either, but how does that look - especially when a sizable majority of party members disagree? If seven out of ten Democrats don't want either candidate to drop out at least until after the primaries are finished in June, how is forcing a candidate to drop out going to contribute to party unity and "healing"? (By the way, can anyone tell me what exactly needs to be "healed" - apart from, maybe, Barack Obama's ego?)

Coerced, blackmail??? Are you serious? What are the super delegates being threatened with??

Barack Obama's ego?? HATE, HATE, HATE, HATER in the HOUSE!!! I know, how dare he step in to Hillary's guaranteed victory.

QUOTE
They may want to see how things play out in the primaries or what the final "popular vote" count is; they may want to see what "distractions" are at play and gauge public reaction to them in terms of electability; they may want to hear more from the GOP's candidate to best assess who might take him on; they may want to see what the sentiment is in their home states to assess how their endorsement might affect their own chances of re-election; they may want to see if the tide turns decisively in favor of one candidate or another before throwing their weight one way or another - I could go on.


Yeah you could, like: they may be wanting to wait for what the almighty hundred million dollar Clintons will bribe them with.

QUOTE
First, it is supremely unlikely that Obama would be asked to step out. You can ask a woman to stand aside "for the greater good", but not a black man - not in the Democratic Party in 2008 - and not a candidate whose campaign has specialized in spinning the numbers to their advantage (in a race in which neither candidate has a decisive majority or enough delegates to win the nomination). Second, I've seen little to nothing in Obama's public persona that could be mistaken for humility or altruism. If nothing else, how could he turn his back on "the fierce urgency of now" that makes him the only candidate who can save the world? Surely that can't simply be... meaningless rhetoric? ohmy.gif No - in my opinion - if Obama were to leave this race, it would be kicking and screaming all the way. I don't think either candidate would "step out" - nor should they.


Now that's what i am talking about.... let's get that race in here. Let's put it out there to "White America" that the Democratic pary is poised to put a Black man ahead of a White woman. Surely the millions of white men who have voted must have missed this essential. If she is asked to step aside it is because Obama has the trounced her.

IT... WAS... HERS... TO .... LOSE!!!

She is not an under dog. She has not been picked on. As she said during the debate "I got tons of baggage"... the media hasn't touched it... even when she was ahead and the front runner.

The party doesn't want to ask Obama to step aside, because he is winning. And it is hard to be the party of inclusion, civil rights, and equal opportunity, then ask the Black man to step aside so that the white woman, who is losing, can win the nominee. This is a democratic race for a presidential election Wertz, not "Driving Miss Daisy".

The fact that she is winning democrats doesn't matter... because he's a democrat too!!

Is she mobilizing as many young people... no. Is she getting as many independents... no. Has she gotten as many republicans... no. Is she even fundraising as good as him?? No. Hillary has done nothing to EARN the nomination thus far, but be a Clinton.

QUOTE
It's also a game whose rules I'm having difficulty following. Let me get this straight: if Clinton stays in the race, she could lose "superdelegates" - so she should drop out. Presumably, then, if she drops out, she could keep or even gain "superdelegates" - not that they would do her any earthly good, since she'd have dropped out. I don't quite see the reasoning here. Or are you saying that Clinton should just drop out regardless? If so, you needn't be so convoluted about it. happy.gif


If he hits the magic number... she should drop ou for the good of the democratic party. If she hits the magic number, he should drop out for the good of the party. The super delegates should not over turn the PLEO for the good of the party.
entspeak
QUOTE(droop224 @ Apr 21 2008, 10:46 PM) *
I know what Wertz is saying, but it doesn't stop the fact that in him saying what he is saying he insinuates if not all out state that Dean is asking for an early stoppage. He is not. It will stop when someone hits that magic number, 2000 and something.


Well, there would be no point in knowing who the "clear candidate" is if it isn't to stop the process early. If both candidates are still running, then neither candidate can begin to focus solely on McCain.
Aquilla
QUOTE(entspeak @ Apr 21 2008, 08:00 PM) *
Well, party... leaders... elected to be party leaders... represent party... go to candidate... ask to step out of the race. Now, stop. Done.



Ok, so at the end of the day it's the party bosses who decide the nominee in the Democrat Party? Primaries don't matter? Voters don't matter? And, by the way, who elected Howard Dean as a "party leader"? I bet it wasn't the people in Florida or Michigan. rolleyes.gif


Aquilla
droop224
Entspeak
QUOTE
Well, there would be no point in knowing who the "clear candidate" is if it isn't to stop the process early. If both candidates are still running, then neither candidate can begin to focus solely on McCain.


I have to say I am confused.... It's like you are stating something to me in an argument for the past few posts... but I don't see how what you are saying in anyway contradicts what I am saying.

Dean is only asking for the Super delegates to get off the fence and pick a side. Nothing more, nothing less. Now from there the winner is dictated by who has the most overall delegates. This is the same way the primary ended the previous primary, and the primary before that.... and the primary before that..... and the primary before that.

In primaries before, the way they figured out who the "clear" nominee was... even prior to the convention was by who hit the magic number. This year it is going to be up to the super delegates to put someone at that magic number, but the process is still the same.
Google
entspeak
QUOTE(droop224 @ Apr 21 2008, 11:37 PM) *
Entspeak
QUOTE
Well, there would be no point in knowing who the "clear candidate" is if it isn't to stop the process early. If both candidates are still running, then neither candidate can begin to focus solely on McCain.


I have to say I am confused.... It's like you are stating something to me in an argument for the past few posts... but I don't see how what you are saying in anyway contradicts what I am saying.

Dean is only asking for the Super delegates to get off the fence and pick a side. Nothing more, nothing less. Now from there the winner is dictated by who has the most overall delegates. This is the same way the primary ended the previous primary, and the primary before that.... and the primary before that..... and the primary before that.

In primaries before, the way they figured out who the "clear" nominee was... even prior to the convention was by who hit the magic number. This year it is going to be up to the super delegates to put someone at that magic number, but the process is still the same.


There is no way that either of them will hit the magic number even with the remaining superdelegates... there simply aren't enough of them remaining... and Florida and Michigan are still in the magic number. So, if all the remaining superdelegates choose sides, you will have a "clear leader" in the race, but nobody will be able to clinch the nomination before the convention by hitting that magic number. So, if the aim is to be able to focus on McCain prior to the convention, that means they will be asking someone to step out of the race before the convention.

QUOTE(Aquilla @ Apr 21 2008, 11:20 PM) *
Ok, so at the end of the day it's the party bosses who decide the nominee in the Democrat Party? Primaries don't matter? Voters don't matter? And, by the way, who elected Howard Dean as a "party leader"? I bet it wasn't the people in Florida or Michigan. rolleyes.gif


Aquilla

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