Spin, spin, spin....
Japan's "surrender attempts" were merely explorations at that stage. The military, who
controlled the government, voted against the surrender even
after both Bombs and the Soviet entry. Only the prestige of the Emperor (who, by the way, had signed on to the Ketsu-Go plan designed to bring about a Versailles like surrender in June) swung the day, and that was a close call.
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More than 95 percent of those killed at Hiroshima and Nagasaki were civilians.
43,000 at Hiroshima were military personnel, which means for this figure to be true, almost 900,000 people would have to have been killed by the Bombs....
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He also notes that General Marshall believes that an invasion of Kyushu, the southern-most Japanese island, “will not cost us in casualties more than 63,000 of the 190,000 combatant troops estimated as necessary for the operation.” This may be compared to later estimates, after the atomic bombings, of 500,000 to 1,000,000 American lives saved.
The invasion of Kyushu, code named Operation Olympic, was the
first of two planned invasions, intended to provide the staging area for the forces that would invade the Kanto Plain (where Tokyo is located) later. The 500,000 - 1,000,000 figure is for
both invasions, not just Kyushu. Also, you'll note if you read my post that the casualty estimate Marshall provided was based on Japanese strength levels that were barely a third of the actual strength they had achieved on Kyushu by August.
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Farrington Daniels, Director of the Met Lab at the University of Chicago, reported to James Compton that 72 percent of the scientists favored a military demonstration of the bomb in Japan or in the U.S. with Japanese representatives present before using the weapon on civilians.
There's a reason why scientists don't run wars.... because they would lose.
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This is all hypothetical, though. We don't know what might have happened. However it may have turned out, what did happen was beyond horrible, it was disgusting.
The question is, was it disgusting or horrible in a
moral sense. To make that determination, it must be compared to the alternatives. If you're merely making a visceral observation, then yes, it was disgusting and horrible. Otherwise, no, because it was a
better alternative to those available at the time to the decision makers.
The matter of Japanese explorations of surrender is important for a number of reasons, most of which escape y'all. Internally, the only surrender element both Japanese factions could agree on was that the Emperor had to stay. Second, for some strange reason, the US skeptical of the notion of negotiating with a country that had already pulled a diplomatic flim-flam on it even as they were steaming across the Pacific to conduct a surprise attack. (
I can't imagine why...) Third, history had already made it crystal clear to Truman that he did
not want a repeat of the Versailles treaty.
Japan
had its chance to surrender. The fact that they didn't like the terms is morally irrelavent, because
they started the war. Their failure to come to the table with something that Truman could at least have a shot of selling back home is on their heads, not Truman & Cos.
Hiroshima and Nagasaki were not "dark moments" in human history, nor were they shining ones. They were
tragic, in the Greek and Shakespearian sense.
Some suggested background reading:
The Final Months of the War With Japan: Signal Intelligence, U.S. Invasion Planning and the A-Bomb Decision