QUOTE(johnlocke @ Oct 10 2003, 05:46 PM)
QUOTE(Hugo @ Oct 10 2003, 02:59 PM)
I think the biggest winner was George W. Bush.
I think this is a winning statement. It's only a one liner but it's deeper than that. That qoute is indicative of what is wrong with these Dems. Not one of them is running on a plan of their own with any kind of details.
I suppose you checked their websites for their policy proposals, instead of basing your analysis on a nine person debate? If the questions, intros, etc. took absolutely no time, each candidate would have had 10 minutes each to respond to what aren't always the most important or substantive questions about their policies. I'm certain, as an unbiased observer

, you wouldn't have made such a blanket statement about the candidates w/o giving each of the frontrunners a thorough examination, huh?
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They're only running on the idea that they won't do what Bush would. In my opinion that kind of poltitcs only works when it is clear that our leader is doing something wery wrong and obviously taking us down the wrong road. Now most Dems might think he is, but it's going to hard for them to prove that to moderates and conservatives in either party.
I'll grant you that it will be hard to get conservatives to vote for any Dem, even one with Clark's credentials on military and economic matters. However, as the last election showed, you don't need 50% or even a plurality to win the presidency. A Dem with appeal to moderates and Independents will be competitive when added to an energized base, regardless of what happens between now and the election.
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Plus the economy is on the upswing since the American people were good enough to elect a prodominantly Republican Congress one year ago. It is very clear that if the economy turns up (as it is) the Dems will have no chance against Bush and the more division they create amongst each other, the harder it'll be for them to endorse the last man standing after the primaries (but they'll do it anyway).
It is clear that a
dramatic upswing would make the Dem's chances
slimmer. There'd still be plenty of issues to campaign on, however, and barring a national disaster bounce, I don't see Bush's numbers returning to the invincible levels you foresee. There'd have to be significant improvement in areas like unemployment, and early enough for it to "sink in". Most people left of the political 50 yard line dislike Bush enough that they'll support whomever wins quite readily. The deficit and questionable judgement on Iraq will still be issues. I worry much more about Bush's well-connected fundraising and Karl Rove's subhuman political tactics.
My analysis of the debate is that it's hard to stand out for good or ill in a nine person debate. I didn't see anyone caught completely flatfooted and didn't notice any candidate that had more than one really shining moment, and I think this says less about the candidates' quality than it does about their quantity. Kucinich, Sharpton, Mosely, Braun, and maybe Edwards need to go accept reality and start fundraising for someone with a chance. I hope Graham is taken as an object lesson.