[quote=Mrs. Pigpen,Oct 28 2003, 07:21 AM][quote=quarkhead,Oct 28 2003, 12:06 AM]Could you maybe explain your theory by using a real world, hypothetical example? How about Mary Brown - 24, single mother of a pre-school child, GED. She lives in a ghetto. How will getting rid of the minimum wage help her? This isn't a trick, I really want to know what you think.

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Mary Brown is most likely making more than the
minimum wage. [quote]Only 8 percent of low-wage workers were heads of poor households in 1989, down from 31 percent in 1939.
* And almost half of low-wage workers are now in families with incomes more than twice the poverty level. [/quote] Minimum wage isn't designed to provide for a family. That would be the equivalent of expecting the teenaged icecream scoooper at Baskin Robbins to be able to sustain a family on her salary. Minimum wage sets the standard for workers with no skill and virtually no experience level.
Raising the minimum wage doesn't just effect those making the lowest wage, skill levels above that must be adjusted accordingly. This almost never comes up in these types of debates, but it's important. Even Prismpaul's example was insufficient (though a good post overall, and I agree with him), because the theoretically uneffected worker he envisioned already making 14.50 an hour who wouldn't be eliminated if the minimum wage went to 15 doesn't give the full story. The reality is, using the theoretical 15 dollar/hour minimum, 15 would be the wage for the
unskilled, uneducated, entry-level salary in the most indigent areas of the country. Others with higher skill and education levels should and would make much more by comparison.
more recent link[quote]"No serious economist doubts that the minimum wage destroys jobs. The only question is how many. Economists Richard Burkhauser, Kenneth Couch and David Wittenberg estimate that every 10 percent increase in the minimum reduces employment by between 2 percent and 6 percent. They figure Congress' 1996 minimum wage hike cost between 153,000 and 457,000 teens their jobs." [/quote][quote]"[T]he average income of minimum-wage workers increases by 30% within one year of employment on the basis of learned skills. Which is why any artificial barriers to learning those skills - which is what the minimum wage is - represents a cruel hoax to the working poor. Wage increases due to increased skill levels explain the remarkable fact that only 2.8% of workers over the age of 30 are receiving the minimum wage."[/quote][/quote]
OK, that's the way the Cato folks see it. Here's how they see it at the
Economic Policy Institute.[quote]Women are the largest group of beneficiaries from a minimum wage increase: 60.6% of workers who would benefit from an increase to $6.65 by 2003 are women. In 1998, an estimated 12.6% of working women would have benefited from a one dollar increase in the minimum wage.
A disproportionate share of minorities would benefit from a minimum wage increase. African Americans represent 11.7% of the total workforce, but are 18.1% of workers affected by an increase. Similarly, 11.3% of the total workforce is Hispanic, but Hispanics are 14.4% of workers affected by an increase.
In 1998, half of the benefits of a minimum wage increase to $6.15 would have gone to workers in households with annual incomes of less than $25,000. In fact, 18% of the benefits would go to households with annual incomes less than $10,000, and another 32% of the benefits would go to households with annual incomes between $10,000 and $25,000.
The benefits of the increase disproportionately help those working households at the bottom of the income scale. Although households in the bottom 20% received only 5% of national income, 35% of the benefits of the 1996-97 minimum wage increase went to these workers. The majority of the benefits (58%) from the increase went to families with working, prime-aged adults in the bottom 40% of the income distribution.Relatively large shares of the workforce (up to 13.6%) in some Southern and Western states would benefit from an increase to $6.65 in 2003.[/quote]
I have an article called "Do Some Workers have Minimum Wage Careers?" written by William J. Carrington, a senior economist at Welch Consulting and Unicon Research Corporation, and Bruce C. Fallick, an economist at the Federal Reserve Board.
[quote]For example, we estimate that more than 8 percent of workers spend at least 50 percent of their first 10 post-school years working in jobs paying less than the minimum wage plus $1.00. We find that workers with such minimum wage careers are largely drawn from demographic groups with generally low wages: women, minorities, and the less-educated. Thus, while relatively few in number, there is an identifiable subpopulation of workers whose lifetime income and employment is likely to be associated with minimum wages. For individuals in this group, minimum wages do not have merely transitory effects.[/quote]
In your quote it says that 2.8% of workers over 30 receive the minimum wage. But if you add people who are making only just more than minimum wage (up to $2 over minimum wage), that percentage climbs to almost 10% of workers, which is a significant group of people.
There are already exceptions in the minimum wage, for teens and students.
[quote]Economists Richard Burkhauser, Kenneth Couch and David Wittenberg estimate that every 10 percent increase in the minimum reduces employment by between 2 percent and 6 percent. They figure Congress' 1996 minimum wage hike cost between 153,000 and 457,000 teens their jobs.[/quote]
Why? How? They "estimate" and they "figure." I'd like to see more on how they did that. All that second link does is quote people from Cato and Heritage.
At the
Oregon Center for Public Policy they attest that raising their minimum wage to the highest in the nation has had positive benefits to the labor force.
This is the opening paragraph of
"The Minimum Wage Can Be Raised: Lessons from the 1999 Levy Institute Survey of Small Business."[quote]n a 1999 Levy Institute survey of small businesses, more than three-quarters of the firms surveyed said their employment practices would not be affected by an increase in the minimum wage to $6.00. Their response makes it clear that the minimum can be raised to at least that level. The question now becomes how high can it be raised before serious employment consequences occur. [/quote]
It goes on to say:
[quote]In a well-known essay John Dunlop (1957) suggested that the internal wage structure of a firm was affected as much by external as internal forces, and he proposed a theory of wage contours. In essence, the theory posits that an economy's overall wage structure can be thought of as a series of wage contours (with a contour representing a wage or a wage range for a group of workers with similar characteristics working in similar industries). For example, contours might be defined as $5.15 (the statutory minimum), $5.16 to $6.00, $6.01 to $7.25, and so on. A change in a wage rate affects other wages within that wage range (or contour) and also has a ripple effect on the contours surrounding it; the nearer to the changed rate, the greater the impact. Thus, the statutory contour and the contour immediately above it will be most affected by changes to the statutory minimum. However, because of the ripple effect, employers (and employees) who do not pay (or earn) the minimum wage still have a considerable stake in any changes to that wage.
When the responses of the firms in the survey are viewed in the context of wage contours, they are not so anomalous after all. About half (50.5 percent) of the small businesses surveyed paid an entry-level wage between $5.15 and $7.25, and an additional 17.7 percent paid an entry-level wage between $7.26 and $8.50.3 The wage contour theory would lead us to expect that an increase in the minimum wage would affect not only those earning the statutory minimum but also those earning a wage close to the minimum, particularly those in the wage range immediately above the minimum (Spriggs and Klein 1994; Gordon 1996; Levin-Waldman 1999).
Not surprisingly, the percentage of firms saying that they would be affected by a wage increase drops as the entry-level wage rises, and the patterns appear to offer some support for the wage contour theory (see Table 2). Firms paying the statutory minimum or immediately above had the highest percentage saying they would be affected by an increase to $7.25. Of the firms farther removed from the minimum (those paying $6.01 to $7.25 and $7.26 to $8.50), over 93 percent said they would not be affected by an increase to $6.00, while 58 percent of those paying $6.01 to $7.25 and 85.3 percent of those paying $7.26 to $8.50 stated they would not be affected by an increase to $7.25.
Wage contour theory seems to indicate that since the minimum wage is likely to have its greatest effect on the contours just above it, it is not at all surprising that the disemployment effect should drop for employees of firms affected at $7.25. A critical issue in the minimum wage debate, therefore, is not the level of the statutory minimum itself or the costs and benefits of an increase in the wage for those earning it, but the impact of an increase in the minimum wage on firms paying wages around it. And this issue, unfortunately, has received little attention. [/quote]
And it concludes:
[quote]The minimum wage was originally conceived as an element of macroeconomic policy with the goal of building up depressed wages and prices. As a society, we have an economic and moral interest in ensuring that those who work earn a wage that allows them to live in dignity above the poverty line. With appropriate consideration given to wage structure and employment consequences, the minimum wage can be used to boost incomes for those at the low end of the wage scale. Today there is the additional concern of growing wage inequality, and research into the relationship between the minimum wage and wage contours could provide some insight into means of narrowing the wage gap. [/quote]