QUOTE(Titus @ Apr 27 2004, 02:37 PM)
Personally, the sudden change is a little scary. I would see what he does with this 'opportunity' in the next few years and then see what relationships we can have with them.
As for his motivation, I mean, at any time since the Reagan days, we could of bombed his behind into the stone age. So he's obviously used to that threat. Don't get me wrong, I think the war in Iraq convinced him to give up his WMD, but why the appearance of a man of peace? I think there is something else. Lol, I couldn't tell you what (hence the drinking water bit), but there's something more there.
Of course, thats just my opinion... I could be wrong.
Yep, you could be wrong....
Libya's rehabilitation in the works since early '90s U.S. lifts sanctions as Gadhafi agrees to abandon WMD QUOTE
The White House has defined Libya's decision in December to give up weapons of mass destruction as one of its biggest foreign-policy achievements and a byproduct of the U.S. invasion of Iraq. Speaking at a fundraising event in Coral Gables, Fla., on Friday, after lifting most trade restrictions on Libya, President Bush said, ''Because we acted, Libya got the message, and it now voluntarily decided to disarm.''
Sure
SOUNDS like Bush got to him, doesn't it? But that's where reality comes in....
QUOTE
Interviews with a half-dozen current and former U.S. officials, Libya experts and a Libyan-American close to Gadhafi's family show that Libya began discussing giving up weapons of mass destruction in 1992, when its arsenal was rudimentary. And it may have bought nuclear technology just to have something to give up in final negotiations.
''Gadhafi felt that the Americans wanted some more to get them interested, so he put some more on the table,'' says Mohammed Bukhres, a Libyan-American with close ties to Gadhafi's sons. ''We tried for a long time to get relations with the United States. Don't let anyone tell you it's because of the invasion of Iraq.''
A long time. How long?
QUOTE
Gadhafi has shown remarkable consistency over the past decade in his efforts to reconcile with the United States. He began seeking to restore ties shortly after two Libyan intelligence operatives were indicted in 1991 for the bombing of Pan Am Flight 103. The bombing of the jet over Scotland in 1988 killed 270 people, including 189 Americans.
<snip>
A secret communications channel was finally established under the Clinton administration. Two assistant secretaries of State -- Martin Indyk and Edward Walker -- held five meetings from May 1999 through early 2000 with Libyans, including the head of Libyan external intelligence, Indyk and Walker revealed this month.
<snip>
''We went with a long laundry list of things we expected the Libyans to do to 'graduate' from U.S. sanctions,'' Indyk told the Middle East Institute, a Washington think tank, on April 7. ''They were prepared to accept pretty much all the requirements we had.''
In their second meeting, he says, Libya agreed to sign an international agreement renouncing chemical weapons and to submit to inspections. ''At that point, as far we knew, they didn't have a nuclear program,'' Indyk says. Walker says negotiations were suspended in 2000 for fear they would leak during the presidential campaign.
The Bush team picked the negotiations back up after 9/11, found that Libya only had rudimentary chem weapons and an old Russian research reactor. To sweeten the pot, Libya also bought some centrifuges from the now-disbanded Pakistani nuclear network, but many of those were still in their boxes when they were turned over to the USA.
Back to your questions:
1. Can Ghadafi finally become a trusted member of the international community, now that he's disclosed his WMD programs and is now seeking peace? A good cynical rule of thumb: No leader of any nation can be "trusted" to do anything that's not in their own self-interest.
2. What was his motivation to make a comlete 180 degree change from the old Ghadafi. It can't just be the threat of war with the US, can it?Nope. He really has laid low since Reagan dropped bombs on Tripoli years ago. His motivation was probably to get out from under the sanctions we've enforced for years and maybe he's concerned for the country it appears he plans to leave to his sons. Hard to know for sure.