Will Tenet's departure help our intelligence efforts, or harm them?Tenet's departure won't have an impact either way. Friends or not the 'slam dunk' comment he made to Bush is out of line in a professional setting but I don't perceive a massive failure in our intelligence agencies.
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The key word here is estimate. Five of our six intelligence agencies estimated a high degree of threat from Iraqi WMD. One did not. Was it an intelligence failure? It was the best estimate they could come up with. Even if the estimates turn out to be wrong I don’t think we can conclude the CIA made a mistake. If five out of six agencies estimate threat, what else could Tenet do but conclude a high degree of threat. Of course, Slam-Dunk my have been a bit of an overstatement.
-- cunsav
IA's must adhere to international/federal law when arresting suspects, or kill them if necessary, as the case may be. Bringing intelligence information to the table doesn't decide policy in itself; the administration decides that. The FBI, CIA, DIA, NRO, NSA and others:
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...shall provide the President and the National Security Council with the necessary information on which to base decisions concerning the conduct and development of foreign, defense and economic policy, and the protection of United States national interests from foreign security threats. All departments and agencies shall cooperate fully to fulfill this goal."
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USIC Intelligence is always presented in three forms: least likely, most likely, and most dangerous. Cherry picking intelligence, or data mining, to make a strong case for war by playing up one source...
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While Ahmed Chalabi, the tweedy, M.I.T.-educated head of the London-based Iraqi National Congress, is the best-known member of the weak Iraqi opposition, he is not a unanimous choice to inherit the reins of power once Saddam is driven out. Though he enjoys some backing in the White House and the Pentagon, both the CIA and the State Department deride him as a divisive, autocratic blowhard.
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CNN, May 2002QUOTE
"The Secretary is not promoting any individual or group to be the future government of Iraq," Wolfowitz told TIME. But behind the scenes, Rumsfeld's aides have been promoting a team of exiles led by Iraqi National Congress boss Ahmed Chalabi, 58, a former businessman, to control the interim authority.
They view Chalabi as a reliable democrat in a nation of Saddam followers. But [Colin Powell], backed by CIA officials, says Chalabi is a charlatan who hasn't lived in Iraq since 1958 and has no constituency there. This group favors waiting to see which new forces emerge.
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CNN, Apr 2003(
Why the CIA dislikes Mr. Chalabi.)
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He apparently has no regrets that his WMD warnings have turned out to be inaccurate. What matters, Chalabi suggested recently, is that he finally got the regime change he had long sought. "As far as we're concerned we've been entirely successful," he told a British newspaper. "That tyrant Saddam is gone and the Americans are in Baghdad. What was said before is not important."
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MSNBC, Apr 2004...and ignoring another source that makes the "
smoking gun" sound bite from the lips of Rumsfeld, Rice, Cheney, and Bush less believable...
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"I ordered destruction of all chemical weapons. All weapons - biological, chemical, missile, nuclear were destroyed"
(p. 13)
Kamel specifically discussed the significance of anthrax, which he portrayed as the "main focus" of the biological programme (pp.7-8 ). Smidovich asked Kamel: "were weapons and agents destroyed?"
Kamel replied: "nothing remained."
He confirmed that destruction took place "after visits of inspection teams. You have important role in Iraq with this. You should not underestimate yourself. You are very effective in Iraq." (p.7)
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Hussein Kamel...proves, as far as I'm concerned, that intelligence cannot substantiate administrative decisions to declare full-scale wars.
And now the moment you've all been waiting for. La pièce de résistance!
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Chalabi accused Tenet of providing "erroneous information" about Saddam Hussein's alleged weapons of mass destruction.
"The effects on George Tenet's policies in Iraq for the past 10 years have been not helpful to say the least," Chalabi said.
"[Tenet] continued attempting to make a coup d'etat against Saddam in the face of all possible evidence that this would be unsuccessful. His policies caused the death of hundreds of Iraqis in this futile efforts. He provided erroneous information about weapons of mass destruction to President Bush which caused the government much embarrassment at the United Nations and his own country."
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CNN, Jun 2004