Regarding the quote from
nebraska29's post:
QUOTE
By voting (Libertarian, Republican, ..., Democrat), I increase the chances that the Republican will be eliminated before the Libertarian. If that then happens, my preference for the Republican over the Democrat is essentially discarded or ignored. This is the fundamental problem with IRV. The only preference that is sure to be counted is my first choice. The problem gets worse as the number of candidates increases. The outcome of the election can depend in a very quirky way on the order in which candidates are eliminated for having the fewest top-choice votes. The only way a voter can be assured of not wasting his or her vote is to rank one of the two major parties as their first choice, which is precisely what happens now under plurality voting. The example is hardly contrived. The "lesser of two evils" problem is almost guaranteed to rear its ugly head again under IRV. Until a minor party is strong enough to win, a first-choice vote for them is essentially only symbolic. After a minor party is strong enough to win, on the other hand, a vote for them could have the same spoiler effect that it could have under the current plurality system. Hence, if IRV is ever actually adopted, we will likely remain stuck in the old two-party system, just as Australia
Although not a perfect argument to me, the above quote does raise the first legitimate point I have seen
against the IRV system. This dissenting argument demonstrates fairly well why the 'spoiler' factor might remain
to a certain extent with IRV. But at least a candidate would never be elected without a majority being
against them. If the first count showed a plurality, I think the eventual victor would be considered a legitimate compromise by all voters.
In each of the last three Presidential Elections (1992, 1996 and 2000), in which the President was elected by plurality, the man entering office would have known that more people were willing to have him lead them than any other candidate, and therefore would have had a much clearer mandate than was given by the actual results. And so I still say that the proposed system, though not necessarily perfect, would still be a great improvement on the system we have now.
Regarding the perceived need for a Constitutional Amendment to get IRV in Presidential Elections, the following is from the Center for Voting and Democracy's IRV Activist kit, available
here:
QUOTE
Q. Is instant runoff voting constitutional?
A. Absolutely. In fact, any state right now can adopt IRV for selecting U.S. presidential electors by a mere state law – there is no need for a federal constitutional amendment. The U.S. constitution leaves it up to the states to decide how to conduct their elections. In some states, it would be necessary to amend the state constitution, but in others, the state legislature could simply pass a bill.
So it looks like we don't even need a Constitutional Amendment. We would just have to get our home states behind this, one by one.
It should still be tried at the local and statewide level first. I urge all of you to find out who your representatives are (Municipal, State and Congressional), and write to them asking them their stances on this issue. As I said in a previous post, go to
Yahoo! or
Google, and look up any organizations for Electoral Reform in your home state or region.
Those of you in my home state of California can go to the
California IRV Coalition page, or to
Californians for Electoral Reform. You'll see on the latter page that there is already a bill in the State Senate that includes IRV as part of broader statewide Electoral Reform. So you can see that this movement has already started. To those of you who agree with it, let's try to help it along!