1. Do newspaper endorsements impact presidential elections? If so why and how much.I think that they probably have in past elections, because it is basically political advertising for a given candidate. If you are a voter that hasn't really educated yourself on the candidates or are undecided, sometimes an endorsement from your local paper can convince you (I know several people that fall into these categories).
As for this election, it is difficult to say how much impact it will have. First, I think that everyone is in general more familiar with the candidates and the issues, even voters who have historically been apathetic about the process. Second, I think there are far fewer
undecided voters at this stage of the game than in previous elections and there really have been for weeks.
What
is interesting are the patterns emerging in the newspaper endorsements for this year. Take a look at the
2004 Media Endorsements from the dkosopedia (and if you notice something innaccurate here you
can sign up for edit privledges). You'll notice a few things:
1. Kerry has far more endorsements than Bush does right now.
2. Kerry has picked up several endorsements from papers which endorsed Bush in 2000, including his hometown paper.
3. There are also several papers which endorsed Bush in 2000 and have declined to endorse
anyone this election.
4. The papers endorsing Kerry reach far more subscribers.
Now this may or may not mean anything just like all of the polls out there, but I'll have to say that it is certainly an interesting trend and will be worth examining during the election postmortem.
2. Do they influence you personally?I have never really been an "undecided" voter, and since I turned 18 I have taken presidential elections seriously. I used to not really care about state and local elections, but recently I have started becoming involved in those as well. So I don't really think I fall into the class of voters that can be influenced by a paper. I haven't ever found myself in a situation where two weeks out from the election I don't know who to vote for - in fact I have already cast my vote, mailed it in yesterday.