QUOTE(carlitoswhey @ Jan 12 2005, 06:20 PM)
1 - a friendly reminder that in the
rules you'll find we don't post twice or three times in a row. If you want to respond to three posts, just select "quote" for all three and reply to all of them at once.
Sure. Thanks, I'll remember that next time.
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2 - Your post above exactly proved my point. Your subjective opinion is that "the wealthy" have disposable income and can afford durable goods. We do not tax wealth in this country, at least for the living. We tax income. A given level of income, even a high one, does not mean someone is wealthy, as they could certainly spend all or even more than they earn. You can accumulate wealth if you spend less than you earn for a long time, but there is no guarantee. Therefore, being wealthy has nothing to do with disposable income.
But certainly someone making a large income is most likely wealthy. I don't have stats, but I can't see why that assumption would be incorrect at least on average.
But you make a good point about not taxing wealth, which is something people intrinsically link to income. And when people talk about pro/regressive tax cuts, I think most people have in mind that it is wealthy vs. less wealthy. For instance, no one who favors a progressive tax system would be so if the majority of high income folks were only making that income for 1 year of their entire lives (and being poor the rest of the time).
So unless you can convince me otherwise, that's an assumption I will make. People with high incomes are most likely wealthy as well although the opposite may not be true (i.e. you can have low income people who are wealthy).
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3 - Your opinion is that owning more stock or owning more property stimulates the economy less than poor people buying groceries. Give me some sources, otherwise it's just subjective. What is the economic impact of buying a house, rehabbing it and selling it? How about buying stock or venture capital in a growing business?
Well, rehabbing a house is not necessarily an "accumulation of wealth" and borders on "investment", IMHO. It's more like a job than an investment. Buying low cost housing and renting them are more like an investment. But even if you rehab a home, spending the money to rehab it may help the economy but other than that, what does it do but make housing more expensive?
I don't have the statistic here, but I read once that stock speculation, for a huge percentage of stock trades is NOT for growing businesses. In other words, it's like trading baseball cards whose value has gone up or down, except the stocks return dividends on occasion.
So the point being, those with disposable income are more likely to accumulate wealth, not create it. Those who are living day-to-day are more likely to create CONSUMPTION in an economy that right now is basically being supported by CONSUMER CONSUMPTION.
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4 - You state it's more likely that "the wealthy" will invest instead of
spend - again, why does investment (risk capital) stimulate the economy less than a poor guy's car note? What evidence do you have the "the wealthly" (assuming you mean top earners) will invest and not spend? Please help me understand.
Investment in stocks does what for the economy? It's just accumulation of wealth, that's it. Sure, if you're investing in an IPO it MAY help the economy....unless that IPO has a bunch of greedy owners who pocket the money. Companies right now are NOT spending money, it's mostly consumers that are keeping our economy afloat. So why would dumping money into growing companies help, if they won't spend the money?
I don't have any evidence that the wealthy won't spend MORE. It's just a logical assertion. I don't doubt that they will spend more to some degree, but if you are going to target a consumer who will absolutely spend, why would you think it would be the people with disposable income??
Paul Krugman had a great quote about Bush's tax cut. He said the tax cut provided little bang for the buck, but there was plenty of buck. The tax cuts really didn't help THAT MUCH.
It's not an issue of whether they were effective, but HOW effective. If you target consumers who WILL SPEND, and not the consumers who ALREADY ARE LOADED, then you will get more bang for yer buck.