QUOTE(bucket @ Nov 4 2004, 05:39 PM)
Right and yet we still have the unpredictable nature of humans..something you can not plan for, define or regulate by calculating.
I have no idea what you mean here. You can't plan for human behavior? In so far that humans are not clockwork, deterministic mechanisms, one cannot outline the precise algorithm by which a person will do something. I suppose I don't know what else to say.
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Are you saying that the US has no plan in Iraq?
Essentially, yes. This is what I am saying. Or rather what I'm saying is that the "plan" didn't consist of the items I have stated on numerous occassions.
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Are all those deaths a result of just accidental, random, undefined, unplanned occurences? The ugly reality is they are not..civilian death happens in war. Our gov is very much aware of this factor and I am sure has already evaluated it and modified as a result of it.
I have no idea where you're going here. I agree with what you're saying but you seem to be making an accusation.
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I think you greatly underestimate exactly how our military operates. You may not like the plan (altho I am curious how you got your hands on it)..but that does not mean a plan does not exist.
I am not underestimating the military (or at least I believe I am not). I am taking a position with regard to the political stuggle happening right now in Iraq. The insurgency is not a military campaign; it is a political campaign. I think the US military understands this. However, there are insufficient troops to quell the growing insurgency. This means that blunt hammers like "precision bombings" are all that's left. If you bomb, you may get the insurgents but civilians will die. If you don't bomb, the insurgents get away. This is similar to why police are highly trained to not just go in shooting: you may kill innocents. However, you may have little choice but to shoot in which case you may kill innocents.
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I asked if you felt the civilian deaths in Iraq were a precursor to failure in Iraq. You said yes.
I don't think I said this and if I did, I didn't understand the question you were asking given your interpretation. Civilian deaths are not in and of themselves a failure mode. No, the failure mode is the reason behind why there have been so many civilian deaths: insurgency suppression, specifically, the types of insurgency suppression which ends up killing alot of civilians. Dead civilians foster chaos, anger, resentment and war. A successful insurgency campaign absolutely requires these conditions in order to florish.
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This is why I asked you why the people of Iraq appear to have no significance in your future of Iraq. Or at the least seem to remain as voiceless, immobile victims in their own country ..void of freedom..void of political discourse..and void of any attempt of change except through anguished revenge. Don't you think perhaps they just may realize that they have other options afforded to them then just blowing their own people to pieces?
Quite the contrary, I believe the Iraqi people are hugely significant in Iraq. What are your options though when you have little food, no sanitation, no power, no safety, when your family members are kidnapped for ransom, when bullets are flying and bombs kill your neighbors or your children, when opportunists offer "protection", when police are corrupt, when US soldiers may or may not shoot you at a checkpoint? An Iraqi looks at the ravaging of her nation and can recall that while Saddam may have been evil at least there was food, some measure of security and stability.
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Yes, some Iraqi insurgents are Ba'athists. Of course, some Iraqi police/soldiers (working for the US) are Ba'athists as well. The state actor calculation is murky at best. Quite unlike post-WWII Germany.
I have to GREATLY disagree with you on this. I think Iraqi people know who caused their pain, who instigated violence and who reigned terror on their neighborhoods. I think they understand varying levels of involvement with the state and I think they are able to differentiate.
I agree that Iraqis know that without the insurgency there would not be pain. They also know that without the invasion there would be no insurgency. Finally, they know that without the US counter-insurgency, more civilians would be alive.
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I believe you are predicating an assumption that the insurgency is composed mostly of terrorists. While I agree that there are some terrorists in Iraq, most insurgents appear composed of "nationalists" and opportunists. One day, those insurgents may become terrorists but that day is not today. Actually, I'm a little confused as to what you're trying to say here. Perhaps you could state your position in a different way so that I can give you a proper response.
I'm just reiterating what our own gov. claims is justification for war on Iraq..whether it be true or not..it is the reason they give. The question asked was if this was a worthwhile price. Well that is what this admin believes is the end result, what we must sacrifice for....success in the GWOT. Iraq is just one country..there are many more with many people who feel much the same about America even tho she has not killed or bombed their neighbors, daughters, uncles. Humans are emotional like that..and have varying causes and reasons for their emotions...and often do not have a easily followed path of reason.
Well, shhh...don't tell anyone but I think our government was being just a wee-bit, just a tad disingenuous. The insurgents are not solely composed of terrorists; the terrorists are a small percentage of insurgents.