QUOTE(PACPanzer @ Jun 22 2005, 06:26 PM)
What are his chances?
ZERO - he knows they're zero. I would rather have no choice than a half-serious candidate.
You're missing the true story here.
One, Kinky IS seriously running. He turned back a secure income from Texas Monthly to do this, and he's a whole lot smarter than people give him credit. We're talking a Plan II graduate of the University of Texas (them's smart folk) and former Peace Corps member. I'll even forgive him for the badly written mystery novels.
Two, he appeals to a broad constituency. I know far-righters who say they'll vote for him as well as super libs.
Three, Kay Bailey dropped out. That's means an inept and unpopular incumbent (who is also a semi-outed gay man) will face a nasty opponent in the GOP primary. The winner will be battered and slime-covered. The Dem candidate will be underfunded and ignored. Prime time for an independent candidate.
Four, Kinky wears a cowboy hat and talks in catch phrases. You think that doesn't play well to small-town Texas? He could walk into an VFW or SPJST hall in the state and own the place. All he has to do is break into a chorus of "get your biscuits in the oven and your buns in the bed."
I'd say at this point -- if he can get on the ballot, which is not an easy task for an independent in Texas -- the stars are alligned for him to win. The deciding factor will be if some political campaign pros realize his potential and ride his horse to victory.