Afghanistan isn't forgotten, ops still go on and, in fact, the US troop presence has increased by a small margin in the past year. As regards the pessimism, historical perspective is certainly missing, and the negative bias towards US ops is palpable as this thread moves along. We - and the Afghan people - began working towards establishing a functioning national entity from an
extremely low point. But, despite failure to follow through on donor promises and many other shortfalls and bumps in the road, there
has been a great deal of positive progress.
The Afghan people do not want a return to the Taliban and do not want terrorists to make their country a haven again. They are stumbling towards democracy, with the biggest hurdle not being terrorists, but simply tribalism and factionalism as evidenced by the warlords. The DDR program is attempting to address a big chunk of that problem.
DDR =
Disarmament, Demobilization and Reintegration.
The UNDP
Afghanistan's New Beginnings ProgramThe DDR program is great - but it sounds much easier on paper; it has proven fairly difficult to implement on the ground. None of those munition destruction parties so far have came about without a tremendous amount of effort and patient negotiation. Along the way, we've been very concerned with the potential impact that the expanding DDR program could have upon coalition alliances with local militias in the PRT’s areas of responsibility. In addition to the threat we already face from former Taliban elements and Al-Qa’ida remnants, the DDR program has the potential of alienating various local Afghan militia leaders who, in many locations, are providing critical security support to the PRTs. But thus far, we haven't had any serious incidents.
USAID - AfghanistanDespite the shortage of funds and other resources, the Afghan people are determined to rebuild this country. And I do not mean just the central government in Kabul. This is being stated and carried out to various degrees in cities like Charikar and Jabal Sarung at the foot of the Salang. In Bamiyan, Kunduz, Jalalabad, Ghazni, Gardez, Khost, Kandahar and even Tarin Khot where Mullah Omar is originally from. If you dont believe this, by all means join an NGO outfit and come on over, I am sure you can see for yourself.
Democracy is truly beginning to work here in Afghanistan and they will succeed, not because the US wants it but because the people want it. They had nothing, they have come from the bottom and they see the chances that are now available to them and I dare say they will fight too keep it. They will not miss the opium plants as much as the media portrays it, they simply dont recieve the financial benefit. It goes to the warlords and the drug couriers. The eradication program is still in its infancy but it is progressing daily and the people that grow it, for the most part, understand this.
Here's some more optimism, from the Central Asia Caucasus Institute at Johns Hopkins:
US Afghanistan Policy - Its Working.
QUOTE
The new pace and direction of American policy, announced in October, 2003, has been applied on the ground in Afghanistan only since spring of this year. More time must pass before a definitive evaluation is possible. However, on this basis of evidence presented here it appears that this mid-course correction is achieving what it was designed to do. Many early signs herald a shift from military to political conflict, the strengthening of national institutions at the expense of warlords, and a quickening pace and breadth of economic and social development. The success of the recent elections provides early evidence that participatory institutions are possible in this war-torn land. They also suggest that the age of winner-take-all politics may be passing in Afghanistan, bringing an end to the gross and destabilizing regional and ethnic imbalances that characterized the Kabul government between 2002 and 2004.
How did this apparently successful shift in US policy occur? The question is important, not only to an understanding of Afghanistan but also, by implication, in planning what the US should do in other situations, including Iraq. At least seven conclusions can be drawn from this history.
First, from an international perspective it is clear that the new pace and direction of policy in Afghanistan arose mainly as a unilateral move by the American government. This is not to say that there were not UN and other officials, especially from Britain, who advanced approaches something like those actually adopted. But only the US both had the willingness to take such decisions and the capacity to implement them. Unilateralism is not always a bad thing.
Second, though initially a solo initiative by the United States, American officials moved quickly to engage Coalition members and UN officials in the project. Thanks to this, international partners are closely coordinated as they implement the program, giving leverage to America’s input of personnel, equipment, and money.
Third, the mid-course correction that is changing the Afghan scene for the better would never have happened had key individuals not brought to the project their insights, decisiveness in taking decisions, and credibility. Specific analysts in several governmental offices and others working outside the government tenaciously promoted the key ideas for fully a year before they found champions at the top. Among decision makers, Secretary of Defense Rumsfeld deserves particular credit, and among administrators the skills of Ambassador Khalilzad and of Lieutenant General Barno have proven indispensable.
Fourth, the new pace and direction was worked out not by the Pentagon, State Department, or National Security Council acting alone, but through a complex interagency process involving all three entities and others as well. Several participants who have lived through decades of inter-agency squabbles say that they have never before seen the degree of cooperation that was attained in this case by individually proud agencies working together. Needless to say, they all lived by the motto “Change has a hundred fathers (and mothers).”
Fifth, America’s new approach to Afghanistan is solidly based not on nation –building, for the Afghan nation already existed, but state-building. Perhaps it was necessary to go through the protracted period of single-minded focus on crushing al Qaeda and eliminating the Taliban before this new phase could be reached. But in the end, President Bush’s V.M.I. speech about a new Marshall Plan for Afghanistan and all Central Asia laid out a strategy to which the rest of the government eventually came around. This strategy is one of state-building.
Sixth, and arguably most important of all, every aspect of America’s new policy towards Afghanistan has been worked out and executed with the Afghans, rather than being done to them. President Karzai and leading figures of his administrations provided such significant input into the drafting process that it is fair to say that the final document is as much their policy as America’s. During the execution phase this fact casts the US in the role of backing and supporting Afghans rather than leading them. On this important issue American policy in Afghanistan since 9-11 has been utterly consistent: at no point has the United States aspired or allowed itself to try to govern Afghanistan.
Finally, the successes achieved to date in the implementation of the new policy are due significantly to the fact that all those involved in this delicate process have wherever possible avoided turning temporary opponents into permanent enemies. Thus, the Kabul government is welcoming former Taliban moderates and inviting them to take civil service jobs and enter the political system. In the same spirit, even as the government is putting warlords out of business, it is offering them face-saving positions, often at surprisingly high levels of status and pay. Thus, when Karzai pushed out the warlord and governor of Kandahar he immediately offered him the post of Minister of Urban Affairs in Kabul. And when he dumped the KGB-trained Mohammad Sawrari from the top post in the National Security Directorate, he invited him to become an advisor to the President without portfolio.
To some extent this marks the reemergence of adroit old Afghan skills that enabled the monarchy to survive for two centuries. It certainly attests to Hamid Karzai’s unique combination of political astuteness and simple decency. The fact that American officials on the ground and in Washington have come to support so subtle and culturally specific a process also says worlds about their ability to master new approaches when faced with the need to do so.